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Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger says his company's most advanced chip design 18A will move into the test production phase by the first quarter of 2024.

Daniel Nenni

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CHENG TING-FANG and LAULY LI, Nikkei Asia tech correspondents November 7, 2023 15:14 JST

TAIPEI -- U.S. chip group Intel is on track to deliver five upgrades to its advanced manufacturing process in four years, CEO Pat Gelsinger said on Tuesday as the company faces pressure to reassure PC and server-making clients that its technology will remain competitive.

Speaking at Intel Innovation Day in Taipei, Gelsinger said the company's most advanced chip design, the 18A, will move into the test production phase by the first quarter of 2024.

"For 18A, we have many test wafers coming out at this moment," the CEO said. "The invention phase of the 18A is now complete, and now we're racing to production."
This production node represents Intel's big bet to reclaim semiconductor manufacturing leadership by 2025. The company also announced it will use this production technology to make chips for outside customers such as Ericsson, instead of using it only for its own products.

Its two biggest rivals, Samsung of South Korea and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., are racing to put their own most advanced chips into production in 2025. These 2-nanometer chips are seen as being at a similar level as Intel's 18A.

Gelsinger said his company has been aggressively pursuing its "five nodes in four years" plan since he returned to the company in 2021. It usually takes at least two years for a chipmaker to move forward to a new production node.

"Well, here we are," Gelsinger said. "Two and a half years into that journey and guess what? It's happening, we are on track to deliver five nodes in four years."
Intel's road map calls for pushing forward chip production technologies from Intel 7 and Intel 4 to Intel 3, Intel 20A and Intel 18A. The first two nodes have already gone into production, with the company's latest PC CPU, code-named Meteor Lake, based on Intel 4 technology.

Gelsinger said Intel 3, which will be used for its next generation of server and PC chips, is now at the "debug" phase and will also go into production next year.
Reassuring clients of its advanced chip manufacturing prowess will be crucial for Intel to maintain its dominant position in the PC and server industries as the AI era ushers in even more competition. Rivals such as Qualcomm, the U.S.'s biggest mobile chip developer, are looking to grab market share from Intel in the PC segment, while longtime client Apple has transitioned from using Intel's CPUs to its own for Mac computers.

Both Qualcomm and Apple use Arm-based infrastructure to design their CPUs for laptops, rather than Intel's X-86 infrastructure, which dominates the PC market.
Gelsinger said Arm-based computers have not played a particularly large role in the overall PC market despite being around for seven or eight years, with the exception of those from Apple. "But Apple is Apple," he said. "They control the ecosystem."

While he played down the threat posed by PC chip developers in the Arm camp, he also said he sees Arm-based chips as a big business opportunity for Intel to grow its foundry, or contract chipmaking, business. Intel has announced a multi-generation agreement with Arm to enable chip designers to build chips using Intel's 18A production technologies.

"Arm is now putting their leading-edge [chip] design on Intel 18A and finding very good power performance results from those designs," Gelsinger said. Around 75% of the leading-edge foundry logic customers are using Arm-based chip design blueprints, according to the CEO.

"Every Arm [chip design] licensee, I want them to become [our] foundry customers going forward," he said. "As a result, capturing Arm's [IP base] opens up a lot of business opportunities for our foundry."

AMD, another Intel competitor, is rapidly gaining market share in the server industry, another of Intel's pillars for profitability.

Intel's new PC CPU Meteor Lake, also known as Core Ultra, will enable "AI PCs," according to the company, and comes with neural processing units (NPUs) to run complex operations on notebook computers. The Intel Core Ultra and the company's latest server CPU, Xeon, for data centers, launch next month.

AI personal computers will be "the next defining moment for the PC industry," Gelsinger said. Two longtime clients, Acer and Asus, are among the early users of the new Intel CPU. Chairmen of both companies attended Intel's event.

This is Gelsinger's second visit this year to Taiwan, where Intel's two PC clients are based and where its important supply chain ecosystem is located. Executives of other decades-old PC and server suppliers, including Quanta Computer, Wistron and Inventec, also attended the event.

 
test production LOL. I might suggest we focus when end customers can get the chip. I still cannot buy a Intel 4 based PC. Intel 18A will not be in end consumers hands as a product until mid 2025 at the earliest.
 
test production LOL. I might suggest we focus when end customers can get the chip. I still cannot buy a Intel 4 based PC. Intel 18A will not be in end consumers hands as a product until mid 2025 at the earliest.

If all goes well Apple will have TSMC N2 in production in 2025 which is millions of units. So if you count when products go into HVM TSMC is still the leader, my opinion.
 
The next 2 year are make or Break for Pat. Knowing how pats speaks a have a really Bad feeling. Basically 2 and half years in the only node that is aviable is Intel 7 which is Intel 10nm. And That was in Production before pat came in…thats the currently Status…
 
I think one, three, five, or even ten products delays or missed opportunities are not the root causes for most problems Intel is facing today. The root cause is Intel's business model.

At least for the past ten years Intel didn't recognize the world has changed and it is changing faster and faster everyday. Intel tragically sticks to the same business model too long. It leads to those execution failures and bad management decisions.
 
I think one, three, five, or even ten products delays or missed opportunities are not the root causes for most problems Intel is facing today. The root cause is Intel's business model.

At least for the past ten years Intel didn't recognize the world has changed and it is changing faster and faster everyday. Intel tragically sticks to the same business model too long. It leads to those execution failures and bad management decisions.
What are the specific aspects of Intel's business model are you referring to?
 
What happened to Intel 20A?
According to the current roadmap, only Arrow Lake will use 20A to make the compute tile. Lunar Lake and beyond will use 18A.
The rumor from Moore's Law Is Dead is that top models of Arrow Lake will use tsmc's N3E. So this makes the volumes of 20A even more limited.
I have the feeling that 20A is not the focus but 18A is.
 
The next 2 year are make or Break for Pat. Knowing how pats speaks a have a really Bad feeling. Basically 2 and half years in the only node that is aviable is Intel 7 which is Intel 10nm. And That was in Production before pat came in…thats the currently Status…
Don't they have Intel 4N and 3N nodes available?
 
Don't they have Intel 4N and 3N nodes available?
Intel 4: Originally claimed as "manufacture ready by 2023 H1". Internal use only. Use in Meteor Lake compute tiles (GPU/IO tiles are made by tsmc) that targeting launch date is Dec 14. Expect to have better availability in 2024 H1.
Intel 3: Originally claimed as "manufacture ready by 2023 H2". For both internal and external use. However, Pat didn't mention any external order for Intel 3 in this talk. Considering tsmc's N3E will be available soon, it's unlikely Intel 3 will receive significant external orders. Will be used in Sierra Forest and Granite Rapids that targeting to launch in 2024H1 and soon after. We will see.
 
Intel 4: Originally claimed as "manufacture ready by 2023 H1". Internal use only. Use in Meteor Lake compute tiles (GPU/IO tiles are made by tsmc) that targeting launch date is Dec 14. Expect to have better availability in 2024 H1.
Intel 3: Originally claimed as "manufacture ready by 2023 H2". For both internal and external use. However, Pat didn't mention any external order for Intel 3 in this talk. Considering tsmc's N3E will be available soon, it's unlikely Intel 3 will receive significant external orders. Will be used in Sierra Forest and Granite Rapids that targeting to launch in 2024H1 and soon after. We will see.
Meteor Lake was meant for both desktop & laptop; now only laptop. I believe this is confirmed. There is chatter that Arrow Lake may use TSMC compute tile (in addition to GPU +I/O). I do not know how much credence to give to this.
 
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