Why I’m Lowering Semiconductor Equipment Revenue Growth to -6.9% in 2020

Why I’m Lowering Semiconductor Equipment Revenue Growth to -6.9% in 2020
by Robert Castellano on 04-09-2020 at 10:00 am

Applied Materials Lam lower C2

Because of significant $4 billion in equipment pull-ins in Q4 from sales in Asia, I was reducing my semiconductor wafer front-end (WFE) equipment revenue growth from an earlier +5% to 0% in 2020. Now, based on CORVID-19, I am further reducing revenue growth to -6.9%.

Chart 1 also shows the cyclical nature of semiconductors and semiconductor… Read More


KLA Blows Away Competition in the Semiconductor Metrology/Inspection Market

KLA Blows Away Competition in the Semiconductor Metrology/Inspection Market
by Robert Castellano on 02-18-2020 at 10:00 am

KLA Blows Away CompetitionC1

KLA saw its share of the semiconductor metrology/inspection market increase from 52% in 2018 to 56% in 2019.

As a background, KLA manufactures and sells equipment used to monitor many of the 400 to 600 processing steps in the manufacturing of semiconductors, starting with a bare wafer, such as silicon, to a completed device. The… Read More


ASML Will Take Semiconductor Equipment Lead from Applied Materials in 2019

ASML Will Take Semiconductor Equipment Lead from Applied Materials in 2019
by Robert Castellano on 12-02-2019 at 10:00 am

For the first time since 1990, Applied Materials is poised to lose its lead in the semiconductor equipment market, according to my recently published report “The Global Semiconductor Equipment: Markets, Market Shares, Market Forecasts.

Applied Materials, which has been losing market share in the wafer front end (WFE) equipment… Read More


Shipments of 5G Smartphones Will Surge to 900 Million Units in 2024

Shipments of 5G Smartphones Will Surge to 900 Million Units in 2024
by Robert Castellano on 11-03-2019 at 6:00 am

5G smartphones will increase from just 13 million units in 2019 to 900 million in 2024, as previous 2G/3G/4G smartphones shipments will decline slightly over the 2019-2024 period, reaching parity with 5G smartphones in 3Q 2023, as shown in the chart below.

According to The Information Network’s report “Hot ICs: Read More


Comparing Applied Materials with Lam Research

Comparing Applied Materials with Lam Research
by Robert Castellano on 10-13-2019 at 8:00 am

Lam Research (NASDAQ:LRCX) will announce its quarterly earnings on October 23, 2019, and Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT) the following month on November 14, 2019. Both companies make equipment used to manufacture semiconductor devices. While private and institutional investors often own both individual stocks, this article… Read More


The Nanometrics – Rudolph Technology Merger: What Was Nanometrics Thinking?

The Nanometrics – Rudolph Technology Merger: What Was Nanometrics Thinking?
by Robert Castellano on 07-09-2019 at 10:00 am

On June 24, 2019, Nanometrics and Rudolph Technology announced they will combine in an all-stock merger of equals transaction. The companies say the combination increases the SAM (served available market) opportunity to approximately $3B.

This article attempts to analyze the two companies in their different business segments,… Read More


Lithography For Advanced Packaging Equipment

Lithography For Advanced Packaging Equipment
by Robert Castellano on 06-24-2019 at 10:00 am

Advanced IC packaging, such as fan-out WLP (Wafer Level Packaging) and 2.5D TSV (Through Silicon Via) will drive the packaging equipment market, particularly lithography. This will help specific equipment manufacturers in 2019, since the WFE (Wafer Front End) market will drop 17%. But the Back-End lithography market, led … Read More


Semiconductor Equipment Revenues To Drop 17% In 2019 On 29% Capex Spend Cuts

Semiconductor Equipment Revenues To Drop 17% In 2019 On 29% Capex Spend Cuts
by Robert Castellano on 04-25-2019 at 7:00 am

The semiconductor equipment market grew 37.3% in 2017 on the heels of capex spend by memory companies in order to increase bit capacity and move to more sophisticated products with smaller nanometer dimensions. Unfortunately these companies overspent resulting in excessive oversupply of memory chips. As memory prices started… Read More


Semiconductor Equipment Companies Facing Significant Headwinds in 2019

Semiconductor Equipment Companies Facing Significant Headwinds in 2019
by Robert Castellano on 02-13-2019 at 12:00 pm

In January 2019, the memory market has been hit with a significant amount of negative news.

  • On Jan. 15, DRAM manufacturer Nanya Technology reported its Q4 2018 revenue was $551 million, down 30.4% QoQ.
  • On Jan. 24, 2019, SK Hynix reported Q4 2018 earnings. Revenues fell 13.7% QoQ to $8.7 billion, while operating profit amounted to
Read More

Semiconductor Metrology Inspection Outpacing Overall Equipment Market in 2018

Semiconductor Metrology Inspection Outpacing Overall Equipment Market in 2018
by Robert Castellano on 12-31-2018 at 7:00 am

As uncertainties mount about the near-term semiconductor industry from companies in Apple’s supply chain and the significant drop in memory chip prices, the semiconductor industry has consistently grown each year since the great recession of 2009. Semiconductor revenues have consistently outpaced semiconductor equipment… Read More