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The US Deputy Secretary of Defense has officially kicked off the AI drone wars, announcing a radical "Replicator" plan to put many thousands of intelligent autonomous war drones into service within 18-24 months, to deter a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.
newatlas.com
It looks like technology will be one of the main weapons of war and will become increasingly so. Drones can be sleepers and left in a highly distributed places, making them difficult or almost impossible to neutralize in advance. AI is about to enter the ultimate war game. Any thoughts, comments or additions sought and welcome. Also the Chinese ban on export of rare earth metals is not working well with alternative suppliers coming online that could threaten China as a future supplier. The question is will Chinese waters be planted with sleeper torpedoes and mines that can be set for ships signatures and activated remotely. Semis of all types are changing the rules of war.
In some ways AI drone warfare is more frightening than nuclear weapons.
In theory they are highly targeted precision weapons. But in practice, why just thousands of drones? Why not millions? Why not billions? Drone warfare could scale at the same rate as consumer electronics if a country were to take a war economy posture, and millions of drones could be deployed offensively in a massive scorched earth doctrine that could simply target anything that looks like a human or vehicle. China would have an enormous advantage in this kind of war.
In some ways AI drone warfare is more frightening than nuclear weapons.
In theory they are highly targeted precision weapons. But in practice, why just thousands of drones? Why not millions? Why not billions? Drone warfare could scale at the same rate as consumer electronics if a country were to take a war economy posture, and millions of drones could be deployed offensively in a massive scorched earth doctrine that could simply target anything that looks like a human or vehicle. China would have an enormous advantage in this kind of war.
It very much is, Ukrainian air defence was able to intercept up to hundred of fliers per wave.
Tiny toy quadcopters with 100g bombs obviously can't fly anywhere as far as those Iranian drones with Wankel engines, nor is their navigation anywhere as robust as to what's there.
You can make toy helicopters by thousands, but not those drones which fly 1000km
It very much is, Ukrainian air defence was able to intercept up to hundred of fliers per wave.
Tiny toy quadcopters with 100g bombs obviously can't fly anywhere as far as those Iranian drones with Wankel engines, nor is their navigation anywhere as robust as to what's there.
You can make toy helicopters by thousands, but not those drones which fly 1000km
Helicopters are highly inefficient, but small gas or battery powered drone planes have significant range and would be cheaper to build and arm. With GPS, dead reconning, or using landmarks could be deadly and easily built by the hundreds if not thousands by automated production equipment and off the shelf parts. They could also be made of materials and shapes that make them hard to track and almost invisible to radar defaces. They could be positioned anywhere to be activated at any time well in advance by weeks, months, even years.
newatlas.com
