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Intel Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2023 Financial Results

hist78

Well-known member
News Summary

Fourth-quarter revenue was $15.4 billion, up 10 percent year-over-year (YoY). Full-year revenue was $54.2 billion, down 14 percent YoY.

Fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) attributable to Intel was $0.63; non-GAAP EPS attributable to Intel was $0.54. Full-year EPS attributable to Intel was $0.40; non-GAAP EPS attributable to Intel was $1.05.
Forecasting first-quarter 2024 revenue of $12.2 billion to $13.2 billion; expecting first-quarter EPS attributable to Intel of $(0.25) (non-GAAP EPS attributable to Intel of $0.13).


SANTA CLARA, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Intel Corporation today reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2023 financial results.

“We delivered strong Q4 results, surpassing expectations for the fourth consecutive quarter with revenue at the higher end of our guidance,” said Pat Gelsinger, Intel CEO. “The quarter capped a year of tremendous progress on Intel's transformation, where we consistently drove execution and accelerated innovation, resulting in strong customer momentum for our products. In 2024, we remain relentlessly focused on achieving process and product leadership, continuing to build our external foundry business and at-scale global manufacturing, and executing our mission to bring AI everywhere as we drive long-term value for stakeholders.”

David Zinsner, Intel CFO, said, “We continued to drive operational efficiencies in the fourth quarter, and comfortably achieved our commitment to deliver $3 billion in cost savings in 2023. We expect to unlock further efficiencies in 2024 and beyond as we implement our new internal foundry model, which is designed to drive greater transparency and accountability and higher returns on our owners’ capital.”

Business Highlights

Intel remains on track to meet its goal of achieving five nodes in four years and regain transistor performance and power performance leadership by 2025. Intel 3 became Intel's first advanced node offered to IFS customers, with solid performance and yield progression. Aimed at addressing challenges beyond Intel 18A, Intel began installation of the industry’s first on-site High-NA EUV tool in Oregon, one of the world’s leading semiconductor innovation and productization centers.

IFS won a key design award with a new high-performance computing customer, its fourth external Intel 18A customer win in 2023. IFS has taped out more than 75 ecosystem and customers test chips and has more than 50 test chips in the pipeline across 2024 and 2025, 75% of which are on Intel 18A. Intel also won three additional advanced packaging design wins during the fourth quarter. Intel and UMC also announced a collaboration on the development of a 12-nanometer process platform to address high-growth markets, such as mobile, communication infrastructure and networking.

In DCAI, momentum with Intel’s 4th Gen Intel® Xeon® Scalable processor remains strong, with more than 2.5 million units shipped since its introduction in January 2023. In the fourth quarter, DCAI launched its 5th Gen Intel® Xeon® processor, which is optimized for AI workloads and provides up to 42% higher AI inference performance compared to the industry-leading 4th Gen Intel Xeon processor. 5th Gen Intel Xeon has reached general availability at Alibaba Cloud, is entering public and private preview with several cloud service providers, and is on track to ship with OEMs early next month.

In client computing, Intel ushered in the age of the AI PC with Intel® Core™ Ultra processors. Built on Intel 4, the Intel Core Ultra processor is Intel’s most AI-capable and power-efficient client processor with dedicated acceleration capabilities across the CPU, GPU and NPU. Intel announced at CES 2024 the full Intel® Core™ 14th Gen mobile and desktop processor lineup, as well as the new Intel® Core™ mobile processor Series 1 family for performant mainstream thin-and-light mobile systems.

In network and edge, OpenVINO™ adoption grew by 60% sequentially in the fourth quarter as it became a core software layer for AI inference on the edge, on the PC and in the data center. Additionally, AT&T and Ericsson announced plans to lead the U.S. in commercial scale Open RAN deployment in collaboration with Intel and others as it plans for 70% of its wireless network traffic to flow across open-capable platforms by late 2026. Cisco is working with Intel and others to create solutions including Ethernet technologies, GPU-enabled infrastructure, and jointly tested and validated reference architectures with a commitment to advancing AI networking.

Mobileye announced that it was awarded a series of production design wins by a major western automaker across the company’s three key platforms: Mobileye SuperVision™, Mobileye Chauffeur™ and Mobileye Drive™. In addition, Intel Automotive announced the launch of AI-enhanced software-defined vehicle SoCs, with Geely’s Zeekr brand as its first OEM partner, and Intel’s agreement to acquire Silicon Mobility, a fabless silicon and software company specializing in power management SoCs focused on EVs, subject to necessary approvals. These announcements build on shared IP across client and data center and on Intel’s existing SoC footprint of more than 50 million vehicles worldwide.

 
For the first quarter of fiscal 2024, Intel expects earnings per share of 13 cents on between $12.2 billion and $13.2 billion in sales, versus LSEG expectations of 33 cents per share on $14.15 billion of revenue.

Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger said on a call with analysts that the core businesses — PC and server chips — would be at the low end of the the company's seasonal range in the current quarter, but that overall sales would take a hit because of weakness in subsidiaries including Mobileye and its programmable chip unit, as well as revenue decreases from other businesses the company has spun off or sold.

"The core business we see as healthy," Gelsinger said. "We see no areas for market share loss and the products are getting stronger."

Intel posted net income of $2.7 billion, or 63 cents per share, compared to a net loss of $0.7 billion, or 16 cents per share, last year.

With Intel reporting sales growth in the fourth quarter of 10% from $14.04 billion a year earlier, the company breaks a streak of seven quarters with declining revenue. Intel's gross margin was 40%, down 2.6 percentage points annually.

 
"The core business we see as healthy," Gelsinger said. "We see no areas for market share loss and the products are getting stronger."

Not sure I agree with that. Over the last decade, Intel has had two core businesses - PCs/laptops (CCG) and servers/data centre (DCG) (80+% of total revenues). Although the picture is somewhat muddied by repeated reorganisations, a few things are clear:

1) DCG was seen as the "crown jewel" of the business up to about 3 years ago - fastest growing, high margin, dominant market position.

2) CCG was seen as a mature business.

3) The erosion of the DCG business (declining revenues and margins, barely breaking even) surely ought to be a concern. Pretending that CCG (doing better than DCG) alone is the core business is misleading.
 
"Our success with IFS will be measured by customer commitments and revenue. We have taped out more than 75 ecosystem and customer test chips. IFS already has more than 50 test chips in the pipeline across 2024 and 2025, 75% of which are on Intel 18A."

This is very good news. Design starts should be next! The 18A PDK is v .9 with 1.0 being the official production version so it is definitely whale watching time!
 
"Our success with IFS will be measured by customer commitments and revenue. We have taped out more than 75 ecosystem and customer test chips. IFS already has more than 50 test chips in the pipeline across 2024 and 2025, 75% of which are on Intel 18A."

This is very good news. Design starts should be next! The 18A PDK is v .9 with 1.0 being the official production version so it is definitely whale watching time!
It sounds good in theory, but relative to any of the other foundries, is that a substantial amount?
 
"The core business we see as healthy," Gelsinger said. "We see no areas for market share loss and the products are getting stronger."

Not sure I agree with that. Over the last decade, Intel has had two core businesses - PCs/laptops (CCG) and servers/data centre (DCG) (80+% of total revenues). Although the picture is somewhat muddied by repeated reorganisations, a few things are clear:

1) DCG was seen as the "crown jewel" of the business up to about 3 years ago - fastest growing, high margin, dominant market position.

2) CCG was seen as a mature business.

3) The erosion of the DCG business (declining revenues and margins, barely breaking even) surely ought to be a concern. Pretending that CCG (doing better than DCG) alone is the core business is misleading.

I think it may be reasonably fair depending on the timeframe he's thinking of. At the middle of 2023, you're right - desktop was trending down, mobile trending down, and server/DC strongly trending down.

First of this year:
- They've just launched a really strong mobile product, with a chance of an unquestioned leadership product later this year (Lunar Lake).
- Desktop is in a historically weak but "OK" spot with some serious advance coming later this year with 20A and Arrow Lake (which will compete against Zen 5 on TSMC N4)
- Server and Data Center is arguably improving. Intel just launched Emerald Rapids which is a solid improvement in less than a year. Intel 3 server products are launching that will be even more competitive (both based on Performance and separate Efficiency cores). Server is going from a single architecture "7nm class" offering to "3nm class" with both dense and performant variants in < 24 months.

Intel is also starting to get some significant volume of ARC technology into the data center (and in use for some brand new supercomputers) - a new market segment offering for them, and Intel is also starting to position to be able to take some market share in AI (in some way).

Their product stack is definitely getting stronger, and it looks like enough to me to stop further market share loss; though in the case of desktop and server that's more back end of 2024.
 
"Our success with IFS will be measured by customer commitments and revenue. We have taped out more than 75 ecosystem and customer test chips. IFS already has more than 50 test chips in the pipeline across 2024 and 2025, 75% of which are on Intel 18A."

This is very good news. Design starts should be next! The 18A PDK is v .9 with 1.0 being the official production version so it is definitely whale watching time!
It is tricky to use the term "test chip" instead of customer product tape-out.
 
"Our success with IFS will be measured by customer commitments and revenue. We have taped out more than 75 ecosystem and customer test chips. IFS already has more than 50 test chips in the pipeline across 2024 and 2025, 75% of which are on Intel 18A."

This is very good news. Design starts should be next! The 18A PDK is v .9 with 1.0 being the official production version so it is definitely whale watching time!

"We have taped out more than 75 ecosystem and customer test chips. "

I guessed it's a combination of (at least):

1. Tools, materials, hardware, and software suppliers and partners.
2. Intellectual Property (IP) vendors and partners.
3. Customers or potential customers (external and internal).

Intel may not charge a fee or even pay some of them to work with IFS. The #1 and #2 groups above are important for building IFS' capabilities. But down the road the real money will come from the #3 customer group, especially those external customers. It's hard to measure the meanings when there is no breakdown of this "75".
 
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