Author: Robert Maire
GloFo & TSMC lawsuit- A Surrogate Trade War- Pushing TSMC into China’s open arms?
Surrogate Wars
Is GloFo using the trade war as an excuse?
Does TSMC get lumped in with China on trade?
Does this alienate TSMC into China’s embrace?
Much like Vietnam and Korea before it, there have been a number of “surrogate” wars between the US and China as well as many other wars between the US and Russia using… Read More
Memory Manifesto – Examining the “new (slower) normal” of the memory industry
- The perfect storm that drove memory is over
- The “new normal” goes back to older model
- The capex & tech pendulum swings to logic
We try to examine the future of the memory segment of the semiconductor industry given the current market and technology drivers combined with historical behavior.
Passing the Baton
The memory market… Read More
Hopes of a 2020 recovery but nothing solid yet
An in line quarter
Applied reported a quarter just above the mid point of guidance and analyst numbers (which mimic guidance) with revenues of $3.56B and EPS of $0.74 with guidance of $3.685B+-$150M and EPS o $0.72 to $0.80, also in line with current expectations. All in all a fairly boring quarter with business bouncing along a soft… Read More
Is Hong Kong a preview of Taiwan? Will HK embolden China to take Taiwan faster?
On our recent Asian tour, Hong Kong was our last leg, arriving this past Friday and departing Monday, the day the airport stood still. We were on a 2:20PM flight out of Hong Kong back to the states which was one of the last flights to leave before the airport was shut down. Much like the China trade issue, the Hong Kong problem looks to be… Read More
The China trade issue is back with a vengeance!
Watching the boats go by in Shanghai-
As I write this note I happen to be looking out my hotel window over the Bund onto the brightly lit party boats cruising the Huangpu river that meanders through Shanghai. All is well here in China and the parties on the boats with millions of LEDs go on……
The view from China is that the… Read More
Lam beats reduced guide as 2019 is done and 2020 is just a hope!
Nice house in a neighborhood in decline
Lam posted EPS and revenues ahead of reduced expectations, but guided the current quarter below street current estimates.
Is a “beat” really a “beat” if its against greatly reduced numbers? We would remind investors that we are looking at EPS cut more or less in … Read More
Great, early signs of a recovery in logic, not memory
A “Logic Lead” recovery confirmed- Memory still mired, 3400C = “Third times a charm”. EUV finally accelerates as all ducks now in a row.
ASML posted a good quarter with great orders and capped off with a strong outlook for the current quarter. Logic demand is sparking a recovery while memory remains essentially… Read More
Semicon West was sluggish with hopes of 2020 recovery
Bouncing along a not too bad bottom
Given that we have followed the semiconductor industry through many down cycles, we can safely say that this one isn’t all that bad by comparison. Everyone, big & small, is still safely profitable and in relatively good shape. Though we are seeing the normal week long holiday shut downs
Micron beats subdued guidance on output cuts
2020 capex likely down at least 20% vs 2019 DRAM & NAND price drops versus slowing capacity. Investors happy cause it could have been worse.
Micron reported $1.05 in Non-GAAP EPS beating street consensus of $0.79 by $0.26. While this looks like a big beat, we would remind investors that estimates for the quarter were about… Read More
CES 2025 and all things Cycling