The semiconductor market in 2022 is weakening. Driving factors include rising inflation, the Russian war on Ukraine, COVID-19 related shutdowns in China, and lingering supply chain issues. Four of the top 14 semiconductor companies (Intel, Qualcomm, Nvidia and Texas Instruments) are expecting lower revenues in 2Q 2022 versus… Read More
Tag: china
Has KLA lost its way?
-KLA has another great QTR in face of overwhelming demand
-Supply chain issues obliterated by backlog
-Longer term technology leadership concerns are increasing
-We see limited upside near term & remain cyclically cautious
Another great quarter- demand remains super strong
KLA’s performance remains great as does… Read More
US Supply Chain Data Request Elicits a Range of Responses, from Tight-Lipped to Uptight
TSMC drew the ire of Chinese state media last week after it complied with the US Department of Commerce request to submit supply chain data by the November 8 deadline.
The Chinese reports, which called it an act of “surrender” to US hegemony, were careful in laying blame on Taipei for caving in to Washington, rather than pointing fingers… Read More
AMAT Nice Beat Strong Growth for Both 2021 & 2022
-Strong beat & guide- WFE up in 2021 & 2022-$160B combined
-Taking share in conductor etch & CVD
-Traditional Moore Scaling – No More?
-Foundry Logic leads followed by DRAM with weak NAND
Nice beat & guide & raise
Applied reported revenues of $5.58B with GM of 47.5% resulting in non-GAAP EPS of $1.63. … Read More
The Chip Market / China Conundrum
In its February 20, 2021 edition, the Economist published an article entitled “How to kill a democracy; China faces fateful choices, especially involving Taiwan”. It went on to quote “To many Chinese, the island’s conquest is a sacred national mission” as well as a by-line “America is losing its ability to deter a Chinese attack… Read More
Noose tightens on SMIC- Dead Fab Walking?
-US Administration to “blacklist” SMIC- Cutting off ALL US help
-A slow death versus a quick death (unlike Jinhua)
-There is enough time on way out door to leave scorched earth
-Reports in the Media about SMIC being “Blacklisted”
It has been widely reported that SMIC will be added to the US “Blacklist”… Read More
Post Election Fallout-Let the Chips Fall / Rise Where They May
- Changing US administration likely positive for chips & tech
- Stepping back from the brink of a potential ugly trade war
- Likely increased Covid/tech spend- War with Big Tech is over
- Tech & Chips had a lot riding on the elections outcome
As compared to previous presidential elections, this one likely has much more impact on… Read More
Downplaying SMIC – Uplaying TSMC
- KLAC sports solid QTR & Guide- Foundry & Logic drivers
- Management remains dismissive of SMIC embargo
- Execution & financials are solid but macro headwinds remain
- Nice September Quarter
KLA reported revenue of $1.54B and Non GAAP EPS of $3.03 versus street expectations of $1.49B and EPS of $2.77. Guidance is for revenues… Read More
Coronavirus Remains Good for Semiconductors but not China
- LCRX puts up a solid QTR and slightly soft guidance
- China Concerns weigh on future but COVID remains driver
- Memory spend could be better & help offset China
Solid September Quarter
Lam reported Non GAAP EPS of $5.67 versus $5.19 street and Revenues of $3.18B which was $70M better than street expectations. Lam obviously does … Read More
Like US and China, India must ensure foreign tech companies are locally owned
Synopsis: India could learn from both countries, requiring that Facebook India be sold to one of India’s tech tycoons. This would be one step to ensuring that all data be kept locally and tightly protected, and that the algorithms that determine the information that users will receive – which, after all, influences their behaviour… Read More