RISC-V is a general-purpose license-free open Instruction Set Architecture [ISA] with multiple extensions. It is an ISA separated into a small base integer ISA, usable as a base for customized accelerators and optional standard extensions to support general-purpose software development. RISC-V supports both 32-bit and … Read More
Bleak Year for Semiconductors
The global semiconductor market in 2022 was $573.5 billion, according to WSTS. 2022 was up 3.2% from 2021, a significant slowdown from 26.2% growth in 2021. We at Semiconductor Intelligence track semiconductor market forecasts and award a virtual prize for the most accurate forecast for the year. The criteria are a forecast publicly… Read More
AMAT- Flat is better than down-Trailing tool strength offsets memory- backlog up
-Strength in trailing tools offsets weak memory resulting in flat
-Order book very volatile but backlog surprisingly still grew
-Trailing edge VS Leading edge = 50/50 – Foundry/logic over 2/3
-Not nearly as bad as Lam but not as good as ASML
AMAT posts good quarter & guide – Flat for three quarters
Applied Materials… Read More
IEDM 2023 – 2D Materials – Intel and TSMC
Intel and TSMC make up two of the three leading edge logic companies. At IEDM held in December 2022, Intel presented a paper on 2D Materials and TSMC presented 6 papers. Clearly 2D materials are of great interest at least to two of the three leading edge logic companies. Before diving into the papers, some background context is needed.… Read More
KLAC- Weak Guide-2023 will “drift down”-Not just memory weak, China & logic too
-Business will “drift down” over the course of 2023
-Not just memory is weak- China issue, foundry/logic slowing
-March guide worse than expected (Like Lam)
-Backlog likely saw push outs & cancelations but still long
Good quarter but weak guide
Much as we saw with Lam, KLA reported a beat on the December quarter… Read More
Hynix historic loss confirms memory meltdown-getting worse – AMD a bright spot
-Hynix reports worst downturn in 10yrs – Already in red ink
-If the #2 memory maker is already negative what does it say?
-Confirms our view of 2023 write off- maybe 2024 better?
-Micron Mangled? & Toshiba Toast?- Buyers advantage
Hynix posts record $1.4B loss- worst in 10 years
Not all that surprisingly Hynix reported… Read More
Samsung- full capex speed ahead, damn the downturn- Has Micron in its crosshairs
-Samsung said its not reducing its capex despite downturn
-A clear indication they want to take share/kill Micron & others
-Is the US government subsidizing predatory chip behavior?
-The last US memory chip maker is clearly threatened
Samsung announces worst results in 8 years
Samsung released its earnings which were the… Read More
Lam chops guidance, outlook, headcount- an ugly, long downturn- memory plunges
-Lam Research chops guidance, outlook & headcount sharply
-Further declines as 2023 will be H1 weighted- No end in sight
-System sales cut by more than half as even service is cut
-Memory is the culprit as expected-Forcing business “reset”
A sad sounding conference call….
While Lam reported a good December,… Read More
ASML – Powering through weakness – Almost untouchable – Lead times exceed downturn
-Demand far exceeds supply & much longer than any downturn
-Full speed ahead-$40B in solid backlog provides great comfort
-ASP increase shows strength- China is non issue
-In a completely different league than other equipment makers
Reports a good beat & Guide
Revenues were Euro6.4B with system sales making up Euro4.7B… Read More
Samtec Dominates DesignCon (Again)
Many technical shows have anchor tenants. Those are the companies that can be counted on to have a substantial booth presence, be active in the technical program and just pump life into the event at every turn. Samtec is that company for many shows around the world. And soon it will be time for them to work their magic at DesignCon in … Read More
Why I Think Intel 3.0 Will Succeed