Qualcomm had their earnings call today. There has been a lot of discussion about their business going forward and they lowered guidance. They didn’t say explicitly why but in the usual Kabuik theater of these things this is what they did say:While our outlook for the first half of the fiscal year is ahead of our prior expectations, our QCT forecast for the second half of the fiscal year has been reduced due to a number of factors. First, we are currently seeing a shift in share among OEMs at the premium tier, which has reduced the near term addressable opportunity for our Snapdragon processors and has skewed our product mix towards more modem chipsets in this tier. Second, we now expect that our Snapdragon 810 processor will not be in the upcoming design cycle of a large customer’s flagship device, impacting our outlook for both volume and content in that device.
Translation. Apple’s iPhone 6 is doing much better than expected but Qualcomm only supply the modem and Apple designs their own application processors. So that reduces their revenue possibilities. Also, Samsung look like they will use their own Exynos processor rather than Snapdragon 810. Since Samsung is far and away the volume leader (twice Apple) this is a big loss (although they have a big range of phones at different price points and this chip would not have been in all of them). He continued: And thirdly, although we had a very strong competitive position exiting fiscal 2014, we are seeing heightened competition in China at the mid and high tiers. We are continuing to gain share year-over-year with OEMs based in China, but not at the pace we had previously expected. This is in part due to some product challenges with one of our chips in meeting some of the more demanding design points of those tiers. This has provided an opening to competitors who are being very aggressive in order to establish a position in the marketplace, resulting in more pricing pressure than previously expected. Translation: actually just a guess. there is some truth to the overheating problems that are part of the reason Samsung switched away. It looks like some other Chinese manufacturers are holding back, or not ramping, or perhaps switching to Taiwanese MediaTek. They are in the Xiaomi Pro Note which should ship in high volume in China based on past experience. But in the Q&A they pretty much denied it: On the 810, let me be very clear. The device is working the way that we expected it work and we have design traction that reflects that. If you look at the number of designs, it’s over 60. It’s essentially won all the premium designs across multiple ecosystems in China, Windows Mobile, as well as Android. So we’re quite pleased with how that is performing. There is a concern. As you mentioned it’s related to one OEM, and I don’t think you should extend that to imply that something has changed fundamentally between us and that OEM. They talked a bit about the problems with the NDRC (Chinese antitrust regulator). Qualcomm invented CDMA pretty much single handedly and have always had an aggressive royalty and patent license program. I negotiated a deal with them in the 1990s and we ended up walking before they got desperate a year later and we eventually got a chip license. NDRC seems to think Qualcomm are abusing their monopoly position on technology and demanding excessive licensing. But who is to say? NDRC has already said they expect the case to be settled soon. Qualcomm also said on the call that many of their Chinese licensees are under-reporting and so they have increased their auditing. SeekingAlpha transcript is here. It is pretty long I have to warn you.
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China's top memory chip maker CXMT narrows tech gap with leaders Samsung, Hynix, Micron
started by Fred Chen on -
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latest reply by Fred Chen onstarted by Daniel Nenni on -
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TSMC Considers Running Intel’s US Factories After Trump Team Request
latest reply by XYang2023 onstarted by XYang2023 on -
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TSMC rumored to acquire 20% stake in Intel fabs with Qualcomm and Broadcom chipping in
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NY Times: Intel chairman seeks to give Intel Foundry control to TSMC
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Serious brain drain at TW fabless
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Intel will ship the world's first "2nm class" GPU?
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Samsung Electronics Lifts Foundry Shutdown?
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Yeah, I heard lunar lake was originally meant to be released after arrow lake, so it's actually a more advanced…— lefty on February 15, 2025IEDM 2025 – TSMC 2nm Process Disclosure – How Does it Measure Up?
I meant to say that the cougar cove on 18A in Panther Lake is a Tick to the Lion Cove…— siliconbruh999 on February 15, 2025IEDM 2025 – TSMC 2nm Process Disclosure – How Does it Measure Up?
:( I think you will get a chance with Panther Lake on 18A and Lunar Lake on N3B cause the…— siliconbruh999 on February 15, 2025IEDM 2025 – TSMC 2nm Process Disclosure – How Does it Measure Up?
No, I wish I did, even the data I have is hard to produce.— Scotten Jones on February 14, 2025IEDM 2025 – TSMC 2nm Process Disclosure – How Does it Measure Up?
Hey Scott any estimation on Performance Per Watt comparison? cause Intel has been claiming PPW Leadership with 18A— siliconbruh999 on February 14, 2025IEDM 2025 – TSMC 2nm Process Disclosure – How Does it Measure Up?
nghanayem: How about design dependent? Does that work?— Daniel Nenni on February 13, 2025IEDM 2025 – TSMC 2nm Process Disclosure – How Does it Measure Up?
Eh, not always customer dependent. For whatever reason TSMC calls things like COAG, SDB, and mixed row DTCO. But the…— nghanayem on February 13, 2025IEDM 2025 – TSMC 2nm Process Disclosure – How Does it Measure Up?
Maybe because DTCO is highly customer dependent. I do know some customers using it at N3 with great results. I…— Daniel Nenni on February 12, 2025IEDM 2025 – TSMC 2nm Process Disclosure – How Does it Measure Up?
Interesting idea, I am not a design guy and I don't feel like I know enough to answer that, maybe…— Scotten Jones on February 12, 2025
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