2018 Semiconductor Forecasts Revised Up

2018 Semiconductor Forecasts Revised Up
by Bill Jewell on 06-14-2018 at 12:00 pm

Forecasts for 2018 semiconductor market growth have been revised upward from earlier in the year. In January to February 2018, projections ranged from 5.9% from Mike Cowan to our 12% at Semiconductor Intelligence. Forecasts released in March to June range from Gartner’s 11.8% to our 16%. The latest forecasts average an increase… Read More


Strong pickup in semiconductors in 2017

Strong pickup in semiconductors in 2017
by Bill Jewell on 02-26-2017 at 12:00 pm

World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) is an organization of semiconductor companies created to collect market data. The members of WSTS also meet twice per year to develop forecasts for the semiconductor market. The “forecast by committee” approach of WSTS usually results in conservative forecasts. However, WSTS called… Read More


Semiconductors negative in 2016, positive in 2017

Semiconductors negative in 2016, positive in 2017
by Bill Jewell on 08-17-2016 at 12:00 pm

Note: the table and text below have been revised from an earlier post to correct the numbers for STMicroelectronics.

Semiconductor companies posted a wide range of results in 2nd quarter 2016. Intel, Micron Technology and Renesas Electronics all had declines in revenue in 2Q 2016 versus 1Q 2016. Samsung Semiconductor, Qualcomm… Read More


Brexit impact on semiconductors

Brexit impact on semiconductors
by Bill Jewell on 07-24-2016 at 10:00 am

On July 1, Daniel Nenni posted his thoughts on the impact of Brexit (the vote by the UK to leave the European Union) on semiconductors. In general I agree with his points. Below is my take on the issue.

The long term impact of Brexit is uncertain. The UK will likely negotiate a trade agreement with the EU which includes free trade between… Read More


China: drag on global semiconductor market?

China: drag on global semiconductor market?
by Bill Jewell on 08-30-2015 at 7:00 pm

Image RemovedThe Chinese stock market (as measured by the Hang Seng Index) dropped 11% from August 14 to August 24 over concerns of a slowing economy. In reaction, the U.S. stock market (as measured by the S&P 500) dropped 11% from August 17 to August 25. The China market has since rebounded 2% while the U.S. market rebounded 5%.… Read More


Growth drivers shifting to emerging economies

Growth drivers shifting to emerging economies
by Bill Jewell on 06-24-2015 at 4:00 am

Global real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in 2015 is expected to be 3.5%, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) April 2015 report. 2015 is a slight acceleration of 0.1 percentage points from 3.4% growth in 2014. The IMF projects 2016 global growth of 3.8%, an acceleration of 0.3 percentage points from 2015. The… Read More


Healthy Semiconductor Growth in 2014 and 2015

Healthy Semiconductor Growth in 2014 and 2015
by Bill Jewell on 05-11-2014 at 5:00 pm

The first quarter 2014 semiconductor market was $78.5 billion, down 1.8% from fourth quarter 2013 and up 11.4% from a year ago, according to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS). The year-to-year growth was the highest since 4Q 2010. The year-to-year growth has been accelerating for the last four quarters. Our February… Read More


2012 semiconductor market could decline by 1% or more

2012 semiconductor market could decline by 1% or more
by Bill Jewell on 02-29-2012 at 6:00 pm

The world semiconductor market grew a slight 0.4% in 2011, according to WSTS. In early 2011, expectations were for growth in the 6% to 10% range. Various natural and man-made disasters lead to weaker than expected growth. The March 2011 earthquake and tsunami in Japan disrupted semiconductor and electronics production. Floods… Read More


eTale of Christmas: DSK, sex, economy and geopolitics

eTale of Christmas: DSK, sex, economy and geopolitics
by Eric Esteve on 12-21-2011 at 11:14 am

Former International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief, Mr Dominique Strauss-Kahn, has spoken at a conference organized by a Chinese Internet company, NetEase.com Inc. in Beijing last Monday, and he was rather pessimistic about the future of European economy, at least if politician keep focus on Continent’s dept problem and not enough… Read More