Thanks for the Memories

Thanks for the Memories
by Bill Jewell on 12-12-2024 at 8:00 am

Semiconductor Market Average Change 2024

The December 2024 WSTS forecast called for strong 2024 semiconductor market growth of 19%. However, the strength is limited to a few product lines. Memory is projected to grow 81% in 2024. Logic is expected to grow 16.9%. The micro product line should show only 3.9% growth, while discretes, optoelectronics, sensors and analog … Read More


What is Wrong with Intel?

What is Wrong with Intel?
by Daniel Nenni on 12-09-2024 at 10:00 am

Intel Inside

One of the most popular topics on the SemiWiki forum is Intel, which I understand. Many of us grew up with Intel, some of us have worked there, and I can say that the vast majority of us want Intel to succeed. The latest Intel PR debacle is the abrupt departure of CEO Pat Gelsinger. To me this confirms the answer to the question, “What is … Read More


Will Semiconductor earnings live up to the Investor hype?

Will Semiconductor earnings live up to the Investor hype?
by Claus Aasholm on 07-10-2024 at 10:00 am

NVIDIA Fastest Growing Semiconductor company

The state of the Semiconductor Industry before the earnings season. This post will give the industry’s status before the results are revealed. We are sharing the information available.

The first Q2 swallows
A few companies with quarters not aligned to calendar quarters have reported. Nvidia was slightly ahead of expectations,… Read More


The Case for U.S. CHIPS Act 2

The Case for U.S. CHIPS Act 2
by Admin on 06-03-2024 at 8:00 am

America CHIPs ACT

Despite murky goals and moving targets, the recent CHIPS Act sets the stage for long term government incentives.

Authored by Jo Levy and Kaden Chaung

On April 25, 2024, the U.S. Department of Commerce announced the fourth, and most likely final, grant under the current U.S. CHIPS Act for leading-edge semiconductor manufacturing.… Read More


Oops, we did it again! Memory Companies Investment Strategy

Oops, we did it again! Memory Companies Investment Strategy
by Claus Aasholm on 05-08-2024 at 8:00 am

Opps We Did it Again Semiconductor Memory 4

We are in the semiconductor market phase where everybody disagrees on what is going on. The market is up; the market is down. Mobile phones are up…. oh no, now they are down. The PC market is up—oh no, we need to wait until we can get an AI PC. The inflation is high—the consumer is not buying.

For us in the industry, the 13-week financial … Read More


CHIPS Act and U.S. Fabs

CHIPS Act and U.S. Fabs
by Bill Jewell on 12-19-2023 at 10:00 am

Major Future US Fabs

In August 2022, U.S. President Biden signed into law the CHIPS and Science Act of 2022 to provide incentives for semiconductor manufacturing in the United States. In a case of creating the acronym first and then finding a name to fit, CHIPS stands for Creating Helpful Incentives to Produce Semiconductors. The act provides a total… Read More


Semiconductors Headed Toward Strong 2024

Semiconductors Headed Toward Strong 2024
by Bill Jewell on 11-20-2023 at 6:00 am

Semiconductor Market Change 4Q23

The global semiconductor market is now solidly in a turnaround. WSTS revised its data for 2Q 2023 growth over 1Q 2023 to 6.0% from 4.2% previously. 3Q 2023 was up 6.3% from 2Q 2023. With our Semiconductor Intelligence forecast of 3% growth in 4Q 2023, the year-to-year growth in 4Q 2023 will be a positive 6%. This will set the stage for… Read More


The Coming China Chipocalypse – Trade Sanctions Backfire – Chips versus Equipment

The Coming China Chipocalypse – Trade Sanctions Backfire – Chips versus Equipment
by Robert Maire on 11-15-2023 at 10:00 am

China Sino US
  • China Chip Sanctions have had opposite of intended effect
  • Helps AMAT, LRCX, KLAC & TEL- Hurts Micron and GloFo
  • Tsunami of Chinese capacity will hurt memory & 2nd tier chip makers
  • The probability of a much longer chip downcycle is increasing
China is cornering the market on Semiconductor equipment

Quarterly reports from… Read More


KLAC- OK quarter in ugly environment- Big China $ – Little Process $ – Legacy good

KLAC- OK quarter in ugly environment- Big China $ – Little Process $ – Legacy good
by Robert Maire on 10-29-2023 at 10:00 am

KLAC Tencor
  • KLA has an OK quarter in an ugly market- bouncing along bottom
  • Like Lam & ASML, China was huge at 43% represents more risk
  • 2/3 Foundry/logic, 1/3 memory – Process tools were weak
  • No change, stable , no visibility on recovery
Quarter and guide were good in continued ugly industry

As expected KLAC reported earnings at the … Read More


Micron Chip & Memory Down Cycle – It Ain’t Over Til it’s Over Maybe Longer and Deeper

Micron Chip & Memory Down Cycle – It Ain’t Over Til it’s Over Maybe Longer and Deeper
by Robert Maire on 10-01-2023 at 6:00 pm

china 800 pound gorilla
  • The memory down cycle is longer/deeper than many thought
  • The recovery will be slower than past cycles- a “U” rather than “V”
  • AI & new apps don’t make up for macro weakness
  •  Negative for overall semis & equip- Could China extend downcycle?
Micron report suggests a longer deeper down cycle
Read More