– AMAT has OK Q but horrible guide as China & Leading edge drop
– China finally chokes on indigestion & export issues -$500M hit
– TSMC trims on fab timing causing leading edge to slow -$500M hit
– Cycle which had slowed to single digits has rolled over to negative
– Lam put up good numbers but H2 outlook was flat with unknown 2026
– China remains high & exposed at 35% of biz while US is a measly 6%
– Unclear if this is peak, pause, digestion, technology or normal cycle
– Coupled with ASML soft outlook & stock run ups means profit taking
– Musk chip lifeline to Samsung comes with interesting strings attached
– Musk chose Samsung over Intel-What does that say about Intel?
– Musk will hold sway over Samsung much as Apple/NVDA over TSMC
– Will Musk do a “DOGE” on chip tool makers? How much influence?
Reuters: Exclusive: Trump prepares to change US CHIPS Act conditions,… Read More
Applied reported $7.166B in revenues and Non … Read More
– KLA put up a good qtr & year with consistent growth
– AI & HBM are the main drivers of leading edge which helps KLA
– China slowing but not too fast, Outlook OK but not super
– Wafer inspection is huge but reticle inspection continues to slip
KLA reported revenues… Read More
As SemiWiki celebrates our 14th anniversary I wanted to wish you all a happy New Year! Working in the semiconductor industry for the past 40 years has been rewarding beyond belief. Working in the trenches and traveling the world has been an education in itself, more so than any other career that I could imagine. SemiWiki has broadened… Read More
Micron reported in line… Read More
– Semicon Japan super crowded but outlook still uncertain/muted
– Slow analysts finally capitulate on weakening 2025 WFE outlook
– Article confirms our view on chip equip lobbying for China sales
– TSMC continues dominate, China slows, Samsung/Intel weak
We attended… Read More
– CHIPS Act more likely to be maimed & cut than outright killed
– Will Legislators reverse flow of equipment to Reshore from Offshore?
– Recent order cuts, Fab Delay & SMIC comments are all negative
– News flow for semi equipment all bad in front of AMAT
