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Search results

  1. T

    The winner of the worst mainstream press article award regarding the semi industry in 2024?

    When an article starts out with stuff like "The driving force behind the diverging narratives was artificial intelligence." you know it's in with a shout. It's all about the narratives these days. Doesn't reading this sort of thing remind you of the story about people getting share tips from...
  2. T

    A $65 Billion Unprofitable Monopoly

    The whole article seems to be built on sand with little actual understanding of monopoly law and practice. The hazards of using undefined terms ... Having an effective monopoly is not in itself a crime in most countries. It is the abuse of that power or illegal activity in creating it that is...
  3. T

    Which professions will adopt AI/ML first?

    Any activity where actual problem solving (rather thean just talking about it) and cost and time to market are paramount. Which includes activities like ours (electronics, software) which aren't highly regulated and often aren't considered to be professions. The more cut-throat/competitive parts...
  4. T

    Media: Apple VP Johny Srouji has received an offer from Intel to lead the company

    Totally agree. Intel has more than enough on its plate already without having to bail out the US's supposed national security concerns. That's asking too much of even a strong and stable company. Just let Intel be Intel and get its act back together.
  5. T

    Huawei to Launch Arm Server Chip Competing with Intel Xeon and AMD EPYC

    Those are all easily fixable problems and simply a question of will. Like "rare" earths, there are plenty of potential sources for these materials outisde China. It's just another Western unforced error.
  6. T

    Intel Shortlists Suitors for Programmable Chip Arm Altera

    Can't agree. Not saying some fool might not pay 10x revenues, but that's almost certainly a PE ratio of well over 50 for a fairly mature business. By any sensible historical standards, an industry wide price:sales of 10 for semis is off the chart and only made sense for periods or specific...
  7. T

    Just how deep is Nvidia's CUDA moat really?

    I was thinking about this and how Intel's lost its way. Perhaps it's the case that the Grove culture could only work in an environment of robust, first rate people who could take the confrontational approach and thrive on it. But at some point, the supply of such people must run out (most people...
  8. T

    8 Big Comments By Intel’s CEOs On Its AI, PC, Data Center And Foundry Efforts

    No it isn't. If I want reports on market conditions, I'll go to someone independent (or closer to being so). There are plenty of people doing this who I can trust more than an Intel co-CEO. And spreading FUD/slinging mud isn't a good look. It's probably been part of the Intel culture, but this...
  9. T

    Is this Peter Zeihan guy a comedian?

    He really does seem to think he's an expert on semis, doesn't he ? It slowly unravels as he tries to describe the details, but he just keeps digging himself a deeper hole.
  10. T

    Intel on the Brink of Death

    Useful analysis. But this argument that Intel can run its foundry at cost has never convinced me. Yes it theoretically could. But it wouldn't count as success in my book. Let's suppose it could do this and is competing against AMD (using TSMC). Assume AMD can buy its packaged chips from TSMC...
  11. T

    Intel should have focused on AI rather than chip making, TSMC founder says

    This reminds me of the German strategy in WWI in choosing to fight a war on two fronts (and ending up in the same situation in WWII). Except in Intel's case, there are probably more than two fronts now.
  12. T

    Intel on the Brink of Death

    I certainly don't accept that as a given. Surely only if they have at least cost and technology parity with TSMC. Which must be increasingly difficult to achieve as Intel's chip volume relative to TSMC drops. Consider the car (auto) industry. When this started, huge car plants like Ford Rouge...
  13. T

    Intel should have focused on AI rather than chip making, TSMC founder says

    Hold on - this doesn't seem self-consistent. If Intel competition forces TSMC to cut its prices, then that surely is a large dent in TSMC's business. But that would require Intel having tech leadership AND cost leadership AND the appetite to initiate a price war against TSMC. If the first two...
  14. T

    Will TSM dominate even more after Intel falls further?

    Agreed. While memory is a commodity, everything TSMC produces for its customers is a differentiated (non commodity) product and almost none of it is second sourced or could economically be. I guess that's obvious, but it never really struck me before that this is a sort of fundamental...
  15. T

    Intel Corporation to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences

    Is that actually an option ? Do the economises of scale still work for that ? Does Intel have the internal demand to cover the development and basline fab costs of the newest processes ? Their one reliable business line - x86 - is a relatively mature market and a decreasingly important one in...
  16. T

    Intel 18A "too good" but design lags

    I like your way of looking at this and think that definitely applies to a foundry business (and likely even more so to EDA tools). But surely the chip (device) business too ? When you consider some of the products Intel's been selling these surely have a large services and support element. I...
  17. T

    Gelsinger “retires”

    The one thing that Pat definitely screwed up recently was the financial forecasting. Repeated huge misses vs forecasts without any warning. May not have been Pat's fault directly, but he let it happen. Hard to see how Zinsner wasn't equally responsible here though. Maybe it's all about...
  18. T

    Gelsinger “retires”

    That's the impression I'd always had. But not from the two recent pieces about Pat, which veer towards being strongly pro-Pat, not anti-today's Intel and only anti the Intel board (which seems fair comment to me).
  19. T

    Gelsinger “retires”

    There's some quite interesting commentary over on SemiAccurate which is rather sympathetic to Pat Gelsinger (I can't get all the detail - not a subscriber). I'm not sure if Charlie is universally admired here, but I found his take on this interesting and possibly more insightful than most of the...
  20. T

    Intel CEO Gelsinger proposes a fab tour for Elon Musk — could be an attempt to win orders from Tesla, other Musk companies

    All true. And I expect there will be useful progress in these areas. A lot depends on the availability and motivation of engineers and companies to do this sort of work and whether they get sufficient economic reward from doing so. Remember that the auto business today is based on a one-off sale...
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