Semiconductor Intelligence (SC-IQ) estimates semiconductor capital expenditures (CapEx) in 2024 were $155 billion, down 5% from $164 billion in 2023. Our forecast for 2025 is $160 billion, up 3%. The increase in 2025 is primarily driven by two companies. TSMC, the largest foundry company, plans between $38 billion and $42 billion… Read More
CES 2025: All In on AI and Proposed Tariffs
CES 2025 was held last week in Las Vegas. We at Semiconductor Intelligence attended for our tenth CES. The event had over 140,000 attendees and over 4,500 exhibitors.
U.S. Consumer Electronics Market
Brian Comiskey of the Consumer Technology Association (CTA) presented on technology trends in 2025. The key theme was advances… Read More
Serving their AI Masters
The Impact of the AI Revolution on the Server Manufacturers
While some will designate my research as market research, I view it differently. Having done and bought plenty of market sizing research, I have not seen it lead to any change in behaviour or strategy. It has been used to confirm a strategy already decided and the “great” … Read More
The Semiconductor Business will find a way!
Embargoes and other fun stuff in the Semiconductor Tools Market
While this post dives into the semiconductor tool market’s Q2 data, it is also about the senseless embargo game currently in place. The post illustration shows what my notebooks look like as embargoes enforce what they are supposed to suppress and are replaced… Read More
Nvidia Pulled out of the Black Well
Despite a severe setback, Nvidia pulled it off once again
There have been serious concerns about the ROI on AI and yield problems with Blackwell, but Nvidia pulled it off again and delivered a result significantly above guidance.
Beating the revenue guidance of $28B with 2B$ to just above 30B$, representing 15% QoQ and a 122% YoY … Read More
The State of The Foundry Market Insights from the Q2-24 Results
If you work in the Semiconductor or related industry, you know that industry cycles can profoundly impact your business. It is crucial for strategic development to invest at the appropriate time and to rope the sails when necessary.
As a semiconductor investor, you’re accustomed to the ebb and flow of industry cycles. It’s… Read More
A Post-AI-ROI-Panic Overview of the Data Center Processing Market
With all the Q2-24 results delivered, it is time to remove the clouds of euphoria and panic, ignore the performance claims and the bugs, and analyse the Data Center business, including examining the supply chain up and downstream. It is time to find out if the AI boom in semiconductors is still alive.
We begin the analysis with the … Read More
TSMC’s Business Update and Launch of a New Strategy
What looks like a modest market expansion strategy is all but modest.
Insights into the Semiconductor Industry and the Semiconductor Supply Chain.
As usual, when TSMC reports, the Semiconductor industry gets a spray of insights that help understand what goes on in other areas of the industry. This time, TSMC gave more insight … Read More
Has ASML Reached the Great Wall of China
Is it time to abandon the ASML stock?
The first tool company to report Q2-24 results is ASML, and the lithography leader delivered a result above the guidance of EUR5.95B. Revenue of EUR6.242B is 4.9% above guidance and 18% above last quarter’s result of EUR5.29B.
Both operating profit and gross profit grew but not to the level of … Read More
Will Semiconductor earnings live up to the Investor hype?
The state of the Semiconductor Industry before the earnings season. This post will give the industry’s status before the results are revealed. We are sharing the information available.
The first Q2 swallows
A few companies with quarters not aligned to calendar quarters have reported. Nvidia was slightly ahead of expectations,… Read More