Semiconductors Slowing in 2025

Semiconductors Slowing in 2025
by Bill Jewell on 11-21-2024 at 2:00 pm

Semiconductor Market Forecasts 2024 SemiWiki

WSTS reported third-quarter 2024 semiconductor market growth of $166 billion, up 10.7 percent from second-quarter 2024. 3Q 2024 growth was the highest quarter-to-quarter growth since 11.6% in 3Q 2016, eight years ago. 3Q 2024 growth versus a year ago was 23.2%, the highest year-to-year growth since 28.3% in 4Q 2021.

Nvidia remained… Read More


Robust Semiconductor Market in 2024

Robust Semiconductor Market in 2024
by Bill Jewell on 08-21-2024 at 1:30 pm

Semiconductor Market Change 2024

The global semiconductor market reached $149.9 billion in the second quarter of 2024, according to WSTS. 2Q 2024 was up 6.5% from 1Q 2024 and up 18.3% from a year ago. WSTS revised 1Q 2024 up by $3 billion, making 1Q 2024 up 17.8% from a year ago instead of the previous 15.3%.

The major semiconductor companies posted generally strong… Read More


Will Semiconductor earnings live up to the Investor hype?

Will Semiconductor earnings live up to the Investor hype?
by Claus Aasholm on 07-10-2024 at 10:00 am

NVIDIA Fastest Growing Semiconductor company

The state of the Semiconductor Industry before the earnings season. This post will give the industry’s status before the results are revealed. We are sharing the information available.

The first Q2 swallows
A few companies with quarters not aligned to calendar quarters have reported. Nvidia was slightly ahead of expectations,… Read More


Strong End to 2023 Drives Healthy 2024

Strong End to 2023 Drives Healthy 2024
by Bill Jewell on 02-16-2024 at 6:00 am

Semiconductor Market Change 2024

The global semiconductor market grew 8.4% in 4Q 2023 from 3Q 2023, according to WSTS. The 8.4% gain was the highest quarter-to-quarter growth since 9.1% in 2Q 2021. This was also the highest 3Q to 4Q increase in 20 years, since an 11% rise in 4Q 2003. 4Q 2023 was up 11.6% from a year ago, following five quarters of negative year-to-year… Read More


The Recovery has Started and it’s off to a Great Start!

The Recovery has Started and it’s off to a Great Start!
by Malcolm Penn on 08-11-2023 at 6:00 am

Semiconductor Recovery 2023

August’s WSTS Blue Book showed Q2-2023 sales rebounding strongly, up 4.2 percent vs. Q1, heralding the end of the downturn and welcome news for the beleaguered chip industry.

The really good news, however, was that the downturn bottomed one quarter earlier than previously anticipated. This pull-forward only added a modest US$11… Read More


Semiconductor Decline in 2023

Semiconductor Decline in 2023
by Bill Jewell on 09-22-2022 at 8:00 am

Semiconductor MArket Forecast 2022 1

The semiconductor market dropped 0.8 percent in 2Q 2022 versus 1Q 2022, according to WSTS. The 2Q 2022 decline followed a 0.5% quarter-to-quarter decline in 1Q 2022. The 2Q 2022 revenues of the top 15 semiconductor suppliers match the overall market results, with a 1% decline from 1Q 2022. The results by company were mixed. Memory… Read More


2022 Semiconductor Supercycle and 2023 Crash Scenario

2022 Semiconductor Supercycle and 2023 Crash Scenario
by Daniel Nenni on 08-26-2022 at 6:00 am

2021 Semiconductor Forecast Summary

Charles Shi, semiconductor analyst at Needham & Company, an US-based investment bank and asset management firm, hosted an expert call on semiconductor cycles with Malcolm Penn, Founder and CEO of Future Horizons on 18 August 2022, with over 100 financial analysts in attendance.  The following bulletin is a summary of the… Read More


The Semiconductor Market Downturn Has Started

The Semiconductor Market Downturn Has Started
by Malcolm Penn on 08-07-2022 at 6:00 am

Growth Rate Trends

What we alone said would surely happen, but what was widely denied by the industry, was confirmed with June’s WSTS Blue Book report.  Right on cue with our December 2021 forecast, the current semiconductor Super Cycle is finally drawing to a close and the 17th market downturn has now well and truly started.

The Macro Evidence

At the… Read More


Semiconductors Weakening in 2022

Semiconductors Weakening in 2022
by Bill Jewell on 06-18-2022 at 6:00 am

June 2022 companies

The semiconductor market in 2022 is weakening. Driving factors include rising inflation, the Russian war on Ukraine, COVID-19 related shutdowns in China, and lingering supply chain issues. Four of the top 14 semiconductor companies (Intel, Qualcomm, Nvidia and Texas Instruments) are expecting lower revenues in 2Q 2022 versus… Read More


Semiconductor CapEx Warning

Semiconductor CapEx Warning
by Bill Jewell on 04-27-2022 at 4:00 pm

CAPEX Growth 2022

Semiconductor makers are planning strong capital expenditure (CapEx) growth in 2022. According to IC Insights, 13 companies plan to increase CapEx in 2022 by over 40% from 2021. The largest CapEx for 2022 will be from TSMC at $42 billion, up 40%, and Intel at $27 billion, up 44%. IC Insights is forecasting total semiconductor industry… Read More