AMAT has OK Qtr but Mixed Outlook Means Weaker 2025 – China & Delays & CHIPS Act?

AMAT has OK Qtr but Mixed Outlook Means Weaker 2025 – China & Delays & CHIPS Act?
by Robert Maire on 11-17-2024 at 8:00 am

Applied Materials

– AMAT has OK QTR but outlook below expectations as 2025 weakens
– Strength in AI cannot offset weakness in the rest of the market
– Increasing headwinds going into 2025 dampen overall outlook
– Weakness combined with regulatory uncertainty reduce valuations

Quarter and year are just OK but outlook is
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LRCX- Coulda been worse but wasn’t so relief rally- Flattish is better than down

LRCX- Coulda been worse but wasn’t so relief rally- Flattish is better than down
by Robert Maire on 10-27-2024 at 8:00 am

Happy Lamb
  • Lam put in good quarter with flattish guide- still a slow recovery
  • This is better than worst case fears of order drop like ASML
  • China spend is slowing but tech spending increase offsets
  • Relief rally as the market was braced for bad news and got OK news
Lam has OK, slightly better than in line quarter with OK guide….

It coulda been… Read More


ASML surprise not a surprise (to us)- Bifurcation- Stocks reset- China headfake

ASML surprise not a surprise (to us)- Bifurcation- Stocks reset- China headfake
by Robert Maire on 10-16-2024 at 10:00 am

ASML 2024 Downturn
  • Investors finally realize the upcycle isn’t as strong as stocks indicated
  • Industry Bifurcation between AI & rest of industry continues
  • China spending risk/overhang finally kicks in
  • AI is super strong, majority of chips remain weak- Invest accordingly
ASML simply states chip industry reality that investors have
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TSMC Open Innovation Platform® Ecosystem Forum 2024 – China

TSMC Open Innovation Platform® Ecosystem Forum 2024 – China
by Admin on 09-30-2024 at 5:49 am

The TSMC Open Innovation Platform® Ecosystem Forum is a unique event that brings together the semiconductor design community and TSMC customers. The OIP Forum will feature multi-track technical presentation sessions along with an Ecosystem Pavilion. The Forum provides an ideal venue to build relationships with TSMC customers.… Read More


Asia Driving Electronics Growth

Asia Driving Electronics Growth
by Bill Jewell on 09-26-2024 at 4:00 pm

Electronics Production 2024 September

Electronics production in the major developed countries has been showing slow growth or declines in 2024. United States electronics production three-month-average change versus a year ago (3/12 change) was 0.4% in July 2024, the slowest since the pandemic year of 2020. Growth has been slowing since averaging 6.5% in 2022 and… Read More


The Semiconductor Business will find a way!

The Semiconductor Business will find a way!
by Claus Aasholm on 09-09-2024 at 6:00 am

Endless Loop of Sanctions rotates while China buys more

Embargoes and other fun stuff in the Semiconductor Tools Market

While this post dives into the semiconductor tool market’s Q2 data, it is also about the senseless embargo game currently in place. The post illustration shows what my notebooks look like as embargoes enforce what they are supposed to suppress and are replaced… Read More


Nvidia Pulled out of the Black Well

Nvidia Pulled out of the Black Well
by Claus Aasholm on 09-03-2024 at 6:00 am

Nvidia Pulled the Quarter out of the Well

Despite a severe setback, Nvidia pulled it off once again

There have been serious concerns about the ROI on AI and yield problems with Blackwell, but Nvidia pulled it off again and delivered a result significantly above guidance.

Beating the revenue guidance of $28B with 2B$ to just above 30B$, representing 15% QoQ and a 122% YoY … Read More


The China Syndrome- The Meltdown Starts- Trump Trounces Taiwan- Chips Clipped

The China Syndrome- The Meltdown Starts- Trump Trounces Taiwan- Chips Clipped
by Robert Maire on 07-18-2024 at 8:00 am

China Syndrome
  • The chip industry got a double tap of both China & Taiwan concerns
  • Bloomberg reported the potential for draconian China chip restrictions
  • Trump threw Taiwan under the bus demanding “protection money”
  • Over-inflated chip stocks had a “rapid unscheduled disassembly”
US looking to further restrict
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