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Research suggests China’s listing of WFE manufacturers doesn’t guarantee market dominance, given current revenue ($0.2B vs. $5.5B for PVD, etc.) and technological lags (90nm vs. 3nm). It seems likely that Western firms maintain leadership due to scale, trust, and advanced tech, though China’s growth potential is notable. The evidence leans toward dominance being years away, with geopolitical tensions and market barriers as key hurdles. This analysis, grounded in 2024 data, shows listing names is a start, but dominance requires more—revenue, tech, and global acceptance.
Look at NUMMI, the JV of GM and Toyota to make car in the US. GM failed to copy its practice to other plants. and the their site it's Tesla Fremont factory now.
I also don’t quite understand the U.S. government's bet on TSMC. In contrast, China has always supported its own companies rather than foreign entities.
Look at NUMMI, the JV of GM and Toyota to make car in the US. GM failed to copy its practice to other plants. and the their site it's Tesla Fremont factory now.
My impression, not statistical, is that most papers in JECS or ECS JSSS&T in my field, CMP, are coming out of Chinese labs these days. They're good papers, sort of modest, filling in the gaps in the second or third generation since the originators of CMP. They are written in English. It shows evidence of the funding China is providing for semiconductor-related academic research. CMP may not be representative of anything, since it's one small electrochemical backwater in the midst of batteries and photovoltaics. But if I had to guess, China is probably the preponderance of battery and PV research as well.
It’s possible that a consortium of US fabless companies will band together to support Intel Foundry. However, they will likely demand that Intel spin off its Foundry division. Otherwise they would be using their own shareholders' money to save a competitor (Intel IDM).
For them (other fabless), it is about insurance and avoiding paying tariffs.
For Intel Corporate, it should focus on maximize shareholder value. A proper valuation for IF should be 1-2x of book value. Most importantly, the IFS effort has been financed by Intel Products. DZ mentioned previously that Intel Products is a shareholders of IF. Therefore, the current structure makes sense.