The following paper was published here a couple years ago by Daniel Nenni after I posted it on Linkedin. I cannot find the SemiWiki link, so I'm sharing the link to Linkedin.
In short, Moore's Law is an economic prediction based on a forecast of advances in fabrication technology. The problems that arose are fixed costs have increased substantially, variable costs have increased, and defect density has led to lower yields of large die sizes running on advanced fabrication processes. These increases have not offset higher transistor density. You can find my complete evaluation at the following link:
What I thought would take a day or maybe two to write and end up around 1,500 words ended up taking 29 days and expanded to a little over 5,000 words. | Paul McWilliams
What I thought would take a day or maybe two to write and end up around 1,500 words ended up taking 29 days and expanded to a little over 5,000 words. While the research grew tedious at times, as I began to see the finish line in the distance, I enjoyed the ride and simply let the data take me...www.linkedin.com
Moore’s Law is Dead – Long-live the Chiplet! - Semiwiki
Dr. Gordon Moore was the Director of Research and Development at Fairchild when he wrote the paper,
semiwiki.com
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