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Synopsys / Magma Acquisition Debate!

Synopsys / Magma Acquisition?

  • I agree with Daniel!

    Votes: 12 75.0%
  • I don't agree with Daniel!

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Daniel is an idiot!

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • It will happen!

    Votes: 14 87.5%
  • It won't happen!

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    16
  • Poll closed .

Daniel Nenni

Admin
Staff member
The calls and emails are still coming in for more information on the SNPS / LAVA acquisition: Magma customers, ecosystem partners, lawyers, and even a government agency. Is it just me or is this event getting a little too much attention? Maybe we are bored and need a little excitement? Or is this really a turning point in EDA history?

View attachment 2871

The most interesting conversations were with the lawyers trying to profit from it. Interesting enough, not one of them I talked to had any idea what EDA really is and why this acquisition is good for the semiconductor ecosystem.

In regards to the product overlap and market segment monopolies discussion; Will Synopsys assimilate the Magma product line? Of course they will. Synopsys is the number one EDA brand for a reason. They spend millions of dollars every year on company and product branding. Let’s not forget how many companies Synopsys has assimilated thus far: EDA Mergers and Acquisitions Wiki . But for every product that Magma has there are plenty of start-ups waiting in line to fill that parking space. Take simulation for example, check out the Spice and Fast Spice Vendors Wiki and see for yourself.

View attachment 2872

One of the big advantages of being Magma was that they were NOT Synopsys or Cadence. Ask any of the former Magma sales guys, which is not hard to do since there are so many of them. Now dozens of under-funded “emerging” EDA companies can fill that role and emerge in a much more profitable fashion. Which brings us to another important PRO acquisition point, big EDA companies did not get to be big by organic growth. Inorganic growth, growth by acquisition, is how Synopsys, Cadence, Mentor, and even Magma got to be what they are today. If we don’t promote feeder fish EDA companies, where will future big EDA fish growth and innovation come from?

The most compelling PRO and CON acquisition point is pricing. Magma has been the “affordable” EDA company since day number one, climbing to the number four position by under cutting Synopsys, Cadence, and Mentor. If you ask me why Synopsys paid a premium for Magma, which they absolutely did, it is to bring our ASPs back to a scalable level. PRO for the EDA industry? Absolutely. CON for the semiconductor companies who will either have to pay a more reasonable price for the tools that help them generate $300B+ annual revenues or work with feeder fish EDA companies on new innovative tools that will enable faster growth for both the EDA and semiconductor industry.

View attachment 2873

What happens if this acquisition does NOT go through? The Magma sales pipeline is broken, ask any current or former Magma sales guy. Customers will buy the Magma Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt pitch Synopsys and Cadence guys are no doubt selling. My bet is that Magma stock dips below $5 and gets assimilated anyway. If you think I’m wrong put an iPad3 where your mouth is!

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I get phone calls from an investment company representing LAVA share holders asking, "Will this deal go thru or get blocked?"

My answer is, "Yes, the deal will go through because consolidation is natural in EDA and a small #4 player getting acquired by a large #1 player is routine."

Yes, they do have 12 products that directly overlap, so for EDA users their are big questions about which tools remain, get discontinued, or get merged into a combined successor tool.


I don't expect that Rajeev will actually become a Synopsys employee, instead I expect a press release announcing that, "Mr. Madhavan has left to pursue other interests".
 
It's the same roundabout: the small guys bring the new ideas and functionality, but the "integrated platform" is a given these days, and these belong to the big boys. Magma apparently turned the profitability corner, so they can't be drastically underpricing.
Are there huge costs in integration, or are the big boys cross-subsidising (analog to support digital- yeouch if so), or are they just inefficient. Other than that most of my favoured tools were originally developed by very small teams but then charged at large-team rates once taken into the large-company folds, I don't know the answer.

Personally, I would prefer to see the likes of Magma able to charge nearer Synopsys rates, and not get taken over. Unfortunately, it takes time for the credibility level to build up to the point when you can make those charges, and the new companies have investors to satisfy (a bird in the hand being worth two in the bush, etc.)

Of course, the worst outcome for the community would be if the Synopsys bid lapsed after crippling Magma's progress as an independent entity
Posted by George Storm
 
One Wall Street guy I talked to said basically that nobody knows anything: "Many clients I have spoken to today that own millions of Magma shares believe that the review will be extended later this week. I also talked to someone within the industry yesterday who was highly confident that the merger would be approved this week."

And in EETimes here is Jim Hogan's view: Expect aftershocks from Synopsys' Magma acquisition
 
My view, based on what I've heard around the valley, is that the deal will go through but there will probably be some sort of consent decree (like when Cadence acquired CCT over a decade ago) perhaps around opening up some of the circuit simulation and timing infrastructure (since Synopsys has almost all the circuit simulators and all the almost all the timing tools). I think Berkeley DA is likely a big winner as the most credible "alternative" simulator for people who used FineSim and for one reason and another don't want to be hostage to Cadence and Synopsys. It might have been good for ExtremeDA too but...Synopsys already acquired them.
 
Paul, I'll guess that there will be NO consent decree because we have dozens of SPICE and FastSPICE circuit simulators out there. Looking at the DAC list of exhibitors there is no lack of competitors to every tool that Synopsys/Magma own together.
 
Even more significant, less than 15% of the responders think I'm an idiot. That is down from 50% this time last year. This clearly supports the claim that my IQ has doubled since the launching of SemiWiki. My wife counters that I should not brag about doubling such a small number.
 
As per my last article, I am of the view that consolidation will take place between EDA vendors
and then between EDA and Foundries/Fables design companies, considering technology as well as
economic conditions to save profit margines.
 
Dan: I believe this acquisition (or merger) is motivated by two main reasons (equally important):

Business: Eliminate source of price erosion and long sales cycles - whenever there is an aggressive new player in the market this has happened. e.g. Mercedes, BMW and Lexus; or Sony, Mitsubishi and Samsung (TV, DVD, etc.).

Technical: Gain access to technology and R&D talent - Ckt Simulation, custom design and STA. All of a sudden 100+ smart R&D engineers are available.

Was half-billion dollar price tag for these two things warranted? Could SNPS have waited 6 more months to gain the same for less than half? Was there a risk that either Magma will get stronger or someone else (Ansys or Cadence) would grab them?

Well. It is what it is. The merger will go through and Magma will go down in history as the highest valued EDA acquisition - in addition to the highest VC funding and the highest EDA IPO in decades as well as the most news-creating company in a boring mundane industry called EDA! And, of course, we cannot forget the most innovative brand recognition strategy with product names like Blast and Quartz as well as ticker symbol LAVA!
 
This sounds awful, for a simple reason:

Competition is good.

The more competitors, the more 'creative destruction' occurs, which benefits the semi industry with a continual stream of better, cheaper products.
I would much rather see Cadence and Synopsys BROKEN UP rather than see two whales surrounded by a smattering of guppies.
Posted by peter gasperini
 
This sounds awful, for a simple reason:

Competition is good.

The more competitors, the more 'creative destruction' occurs, which benefits the semi industry with a continual stream of better, cheaper products.
I would much rather see Cadence and Synopsys BROKEN UP rather than see two whales surrounded by a smattering of guppies.
Posted by peter gasperini

That concept certainly has merit. The most important weapon an EDA company can have is customer IQ. Unfortunately, as companies grow customer IQ shrinks and that is why so much innovation comes from emerging companies.
 
[FONT=&quot]Well, the wait is over...As you may have seen, Synopsys closed the acquisition of Magma this morning. Synopsys also posted [/FONT][FONT=&quot]results for the first quarter fiscal 2012. [/FONT]


Highlights of both announcements are provided below. The full releases can also be accessed here: Synopsys Q1FY12 Results; Synopsys Q1FY12 Results; Synopsys Completes Acquisition of Magma.
Q1 FY2012 highlights include:
Synopsys had excellent Q1 results and is raising its outlook for fiscal 2012, independent of any impact from the Magma acquisition.
· Q1 FY12:
[FONT=&quot]o [/FONT]Revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2012 was $425.5 million, compared to $364.6 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2011 – an increase of 16.7 percent and well above Synopsys’ target range.
[FONT=&quot]o [/FONT]Fiscal Q1 included an extra week, affecting both revenue and expenses. Even without the impact of the extra week of approximately $26 million, revenue growth was 10 percent.
[FONT=&quot]o [/FONT]GAAP net income for the first quarter of fiscal 2012 was $56.69 million, or $0.39 per share, compared to $48.2 million, or $0.31 per share, for the first quarter of fiscal 2011.
[FONT=&quot]o [/FONT]On a non-GAAP basis, net income for the first quarter of fiscal 2012 was $82.3 million, or $0.56 per share, compared to non-GAAP net income of $68.3 million, or $0.44 per share, for the first quarter of fiscal 2011.

· Second quarter fiscal 2012 targets:
[FONT=&quot]o [/FONT]Revenue of $412 million - $420 million.
[FONT=&quot]o [/FONT]Non-GAAP EPS in the range of $0.54 - $0.56.
(Previously announced range was $0.51 - $0.53).

[FONT=&quot]o [/FONT]GAAP EPS in the range of $0.37 - $0.43.

· Full fiscal year 2012 targets – raised:
[FONT=&quot]o [/FONT]Revenue of $1.665 - $1.675 billion
[FONT=&quot]o [/FONT]Non-GAAP EPS in the range of $1.97 - $2.03.
(Previously announced range was $1.93 - $1.99)

[FONT=&quot]o [/FONT]GAAP EPS in the range of $1.33 - $1.48.
Synopsys Completes Acquisition of Magma Design Automation

Synopsys has completed its acquisition of Magma Design Automation, enabling the combined company to more rapidly meet the needs of leading-edge semiconductor designers looking for ever-more sophisticated design tools.

· The value of the transaction is approximately $523 million net of cash acquired, or $7.35 per Magma share in cash.
· Synopsys will fund the acquisition using a combination of cash and debt.
· Synopsys anticipates it to be modestly accretive to non-GAAP earnings per share in its fiscal 2012.

Earnings Results Webcast
Synopsys will report results for the first quarter fiscal 2012 today after market close. Synopsys will hold a conference call for analysts and investors to review the results and to discuss the acquisition today at 2 p.m. PT (5 p.m. ET). A live webcast of the call will be available at Synopsys’ corporate website at www.synopsys.com. A recording of the call will be available by calling +1‑800‑475‑6701 (+1-320-365-3844 for international callers), access code 236854, beginning at 4 p.m. PT today. A webcast replay will also be available on the website from approximately 5:30 p.m. PT today through the time Synopsys announces its results for the second quarter fiscal 2012 in May 2012. Synopsys will post copies of the prepared remarks of Aart de Geus, chairman and chief executive officer, and Brian Beattie, chief financial officer, on its website following the call.
 
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