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Intel 7nm due in 2022

I just quote "the fool"
Intel is expected to go into manufacturing on its first 10-nanometer products during the second half of 2017. For simplicity, let's assume that volume availability of 10-nanometer product doesn't happen until January 2018.Intel has said that it plans three waves of 10-nanometer technology: 10-nanometer, 10-nanometer+, and 10-nanometer++. If Intel keeps to an annual product launch cadence, then we should see volume availability of the first 10-nanometer+ products in January 2019, and the first 10-nanometer++ products in January 2020.
Based on this cadence, which is admittedly probably on the pessimistic side, the first products based on 7-nanometer would be expected to launch in January 2021 -- a bit earlier than the 2022 time frame given in the job listing.
What Intel could be planning, then, is to introduce substantially enhanced chip designs a year after the first 7-nanometer products, which could very well be modest updates to the final 10-nanometer++ products. In fact, Intel's product cadence is now referred to as "Process, Architecture, Optimization," so fundamentally new architecture products on 7-nanometer could, indeed, arrive in January 2022.
Click to expand...

Basically, we should see the first 7nm parts (10nm process shrinkage only) around end of 2020 (as usual, most likely the smaller and low power CPUs), with the real volume production in 2021. In 2022 we should at the very best expect the Intel's tock, the new architecture.
 
Scotten Jones said:
Intel has said they are on a 2 to 3 year process cadence. I expect their "7nm" in 2020.
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I do think so too Scotten, but as I said, it is gonna be most likely an early september 2020 launch for <15W CPUs and then Q1 2021 for the rest. Let's see their 10nm first. If they should have additional troubles with the yield learning cycles, we could even see a Tick/Tock/Tock+/Tock++ sequence this time :)
 
astilo said:
I do think so too Scotten, but as I said, it is gonna be most likely an early september 2020 launch for <15W CPUs and then Q1 2021 for the rest. Let's see their 10nm first. If they should have additional troubles with the yield learning cycles, we could even see a Tick/Tock/Tock+/Tock++ sequence this time :)
Click to expand...

Intel is doing the Tick/Tock/Tock+/Tock++ on 14nm with Broadwell, Skylake, Kaby Lake, and Coffee Lake. Coffee Lake is supposed to be Intel's first mainstream platform cpu with 6 cores. I think we are entering the age of nodes that last 3-5 years and are optimized several times to get every last bit of yield, transistor performance, and best power usage possible. Intel's 5nm appears that it could be top of the line till 2030 with 7nm lasting till 2025 IMO..
 
utroz said:
Intel is doing the Tick/Tock/Tock+/Tock++ on 14nm with Broadwell, Skylake, Kaby Lake, and Coffee Lake. Coffee Lake is supposed to be Intel's first mainstream platform cpu with 6 cores. I think we are entering the age of nodes that last 3-5 years and are optimized several times to get every last bit of yield, transistor performance, and best power usage possible. Intel's 5nm appears that it could be top of the line till 2030 with 7nm lasting till 2025 IMO..
Click to expand...

Intel has said they are on a 2 to 3 year cycle between nodes now.

TSMC is introducing 10nm in 2016, 7nm in 2017 and 5nm in 2019.

Intel can't afford to fall too far behind. I expect their 7nm by 2020 at the latest and wouldn't be surprised to see 5nm by 2022, certainly 2023.
 
CNL is cannonlake which is 10 nm. It's the most recent roadmap for mobile.
 
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