If you think my 40 years of semiconductor experience is impressive, Malcolm Penn has been at it for 55 years starting with the first commercial integrated circuit. Malcolm’s company Future Horizons has been providing legendary semiconductor industry forecasts since 1989. I have attended dozens of these both live and … Read More
Accellera and PSS 3.0 at #61DAC
Accellera invited me to attend their #61DAC panel discussion about the new Portable Stimulus Standard (PSS) v3.0, and the formal press release was also just announced. The big idea with PSS is to enable seamless reuse of stimulus across simulation, emulation and post-silicon debug and prototyping.
Tom Fitzpatrick from Siemens… Read More
Nvidia Pulled out of the Black Well
Despite a severe setback, Nvidia pulled it off once again
There have been serious concerns about the ROI on AI and yield problems with Blackwell, but Nvidia pulled it off again and delivered a result significantly above guidance.
Beating the revenue guidance of $28B with 2B$ to just above 30B$, representing 15% QoQ and a 122% YoY … Read More
Robust Semiconductor Market in 2024
The global semiconductor market reached $149.9 billion in the second quarter of 2024, according to WSTS. 2Q 2024 was up 6.5% from 1Q 2024 and up 18.3% from a year ago. WSTS revised 1Q 2024 up by $3 billion, making 1Q 2024 up 17.8% from a year ago instead of the previous 15.3%.
The major semiconductor companies posted generally strong… Read More
The State of The Foundry Market Insights from the Q2-24 Results
If you work in the Semiconductor or related industry, you know that industry cycles can profoundly impact your business. It is crucial for strategic development to invest at the appropriate time and to rope the sails when necessary.
As a semiconductor investor, you’re accustomed to the ebb and flow of industry cycles. It’s… Read More
AMAT Underwhelms- China & GM & ICAP Headwinds- AI is only Driver- Slow Recovery
- AMAT reports good but underwhelming quarter
- China slowing creates revenue & GM headwinds- ICAPs weak
- AI remains the one and only bright spot in both foundry & memory
- Cyclical recovery remains slow – Single digit Y/Y growth
OK quarter – still slow growing, revs up only 5% Y/Y
AMAT came in at revenues of $6.78B… Read More
A Post-AI-ROI-Panic Overview of the Data Center Processing Market
With all the Q2-24 results delivered, it is time to remove the clouds of euphoria and panic, ignore the performance claims and the bugs, and analyse the Data Center business, including examining the supply chain up and downstream. It is time to find out if the AI boom in semiconductors is still alive.
We begin the analysis with the … Read More
Intel’s Death Spiral Took Another Turn
Does this justify the widespread Intel bashing?
The latest Intel earnings release was another sharp and deeper turn into the company’s death spiral. On the surface, it is just a whole load of bad news, and the web has been vibrating with Intel bashing since the release.
So what are the facts?
From a revenue perspective, Intel was inside… Read More
LRCX Good but not good enough results, AMAT Epic failure and Slow Steady Recovery
- Lam reported good numbers with slightly soft guide
- Investors are figuring out the up cycle will be slower than thought
- Looks like AMAT won’t get CHIPS act money for Epic facility
- Steady improvement but stocks still ahead of themselves-Correction?
Lam reports good numbers (as usual) but guide not good enough
Lam reported… Read More
Semiconductor CapEx Down in 2024, Up Strongly in 2025
The U.S. CHIPS and Science Act provides incentives for semiconductor manufacturing in the United States. As of July 30, 2024, The CHIPS Program Office has announced over $30 billion in grants and over $25 billion in loans, according to the Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA). The awards have been given to fourteen companies;… Read More


The Risk of Not Optimizing Clock Power