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How would he know? Seriously. These so called analysts throw spaghetti on the wall and if a noodle sticks they are heros with no mention of the many noodles on the floor rotting away.
Vahid Karaahmetovic Vahid is an enthusiastic financial journalist with a focus on covering stock market developments and finance news. He holds a bachelor’s degree in Cinema-TV.
Intel is an IDM foundry, just like Samsung. We do need IDM foundries who can justify the massive CAPEX required to make fabs profitable. It would take a trillion dollars to replicate TSMC's path of pure-play foundry success. There will never be another TSMC. For any company, even IDM foundries, to think they will beat TSMC in the foundry business is absurd. Several companies have tried, many billions of dollars have been lost, the result is always the same: TSMC gets even stronger.
With all due respect, "never" is a real long time. Actually, the 10nm fiasco really wasn't that long ago and before that Intel was at least head-to-head with TSMC, if not ahead.
I don't doubt there are groups at AVGO that have adjusted to doing things the AVGO way. One can read of folks there working for the RSUs, or hear similar if they have personal contacts there.
But that does not mean AVGO has moved away from the margin driven playbook they have had so much success with.
"Yes, this is the same thing AVGO has done with every company they have acquired. All acquisitions must hit the target margins. If not, prices rise and/or heads roll until margins are met. If still not met, the group is sold or otherwise discarded. Investors love this scheme, other stakeholders not nearly so much.
For each acquisition this juice squeezing works for about 5 years at the max. So AVGO is always lining up the next trophy prey to pull into the processing plant. About a 2 year cadence iirc."
With all due respect, "never" is a real long time. Actually, the 10nm fiasco really wasn't that long ago and before that Intel was at least head-to-head with TSMC, if not ahead.
Before 10nm Intel was definitely ahead up until 14nm
My key issue with Broadcom acquiring Intel is cancelling of many Open Initiatives at Intel something that has drivern the industry Broadcom with Intel acquisition with IMS Nano fabrication they can even squeeze TSMC jump to Intels fab in long term and almost squeeze any Company with Intels assets
I believe the board's decision to appoint MJ as the CEO of Intel Products was the right move. She mentioned Falcon Shores, the next data center GPU. Her objective is to launch it, gather customer feedback, and quickly iterate on it. This approach aligns with my earlier opinion that Intel should not have canceled Rialto Bridge. It should be part of the learning process, much like what was done with ARC Alchemist.
She also mentioned sharing IPs from cloud to edge to improve efficiency. This could mean that IPs used for data center GPUs might also be shared with desktop GPUs.
Those decisions were already taken by Pat but he didn't know how to publicise them properly mj is handling it well i don't think she has Pat's technical expertise
Those decisions were already taken by Pat but he didn't know how to publicise them properly mj is handling it well i don't think she has Pat's technical expertise
I don't think expertise is necessary in this case. The reason is that MJ is already surrounded by experts. Listening to customers and understanding the market is more important. Based on what I’ve read, it seems that Pat was the one who decided to cancel the Riato Bridge, and he also intended to cancel the desktop GPUs. At times, I’ve wondered whether he paid attention to the broader situation beyond the foundry. I believe desktop GPUs are important because they allow students to purchase them and become familiar with oneAPI, which could enable them to use Intel's data center GPUs later in their careers.
They mentioned that sometimes PG did not appear to listen to customers. MJ, on the other hand, seems pragmatic and focused on winning clients' businesses over competitors.
I don't think expertise is necessary in this case. The reason is that MJ is already surrounded by experts. Listening to customers and understanding the market is more important. Based on what I’ve read, it seems that Pat was the one who decided to cancel the Riato Bridge, and he also intended to cancel the desktop GPUs. At times, I’ve wondered whether he paid attention to the broader situation beyond the foundry. I believe desktop GPUs are important because they allow students to purchase them and become familiar with oneAPI, which could enable them to use Intel's data center GPUs later in their careers.
I meant that after the August earnings report, PG mentioned further 'portfolio trimming.' Then, there were rumors suggesting that dGPUs after Battlemage might be canceled. This was reflected in yesterday's reviews, with some reviewers casting doubt on the product's continuity.
I meant that after the August earnings report, PG mentioned further 'portfolio trimming.' Then, there were rumors suggesting that dGPUs after Battlemage might be canceled. This was reflected in yesterday's reviews, with some reviewers casting doubt on the product's continuity.
Those “reviewers” know nothing of the roadmaps except what some random “leakers” say.
Tom Peterson in his official capacity has said Xe3 is hardware complete and in software development and Xe4 is in hardware development.
Note how I say Xe3 and not “Arc Celestial” because the IP development is moving forward but how they develop product lines and SKUs may not be as simple as just having discrete consumer GPUs.
And of course Xe is going to be in Falcon Shores and whatever comes next.
With all due respect, "never" is a real long time. Actually, the 10nm fiasco really wasn't that long ago and before that Intel was at least head-to-head with TSMC, if not ahead.
Given the history of TSMC I do not see how another pure play foundry could even come close to what TSMC has accomplished. We shall see with Rapidus. Do you really think they have a chance?
Intel and TSMC have never really been head-to-head. Remember, you cannot accurately compare Intel IDM to TSMC pure-play foundry. TSMC has to accommodate hundreds of customers, thousands of PDKs and IP. Intel IDM only has to do Intel. A big example is power. TSMC has been power focused ever since the SoC. Qualcomm worked closely with TSMC on the Snapdragon series in the early 2000s then MediaTek and Apple. The only leading edge SoC not at TSMC is Samsung's Exynos and it is not competitive.
I really think we need to give TSMC credit where credit is due. I also think it is important to put Intel's foundry efforts in proper perspective. Otherwise, expectations can be unrealistic, and failure will closely follow.
I guess this is the part of my note you take issue with, based on your note about AVGO building AI ASICs for custoners.
Yep they have retained some folks who have figured out how to survive or maybe even flourish doing things the AVGO way. This benefits AVGO, of course.
But is this AVGO's main goal, or a secondary, nice to have outcome? In my view AVGO focuses on the next crop to juice (or herd to milk).
I guess we can agree to disagree.
The stock just popped by 25% due to high tech development of custom silicon for AI. This could grow by 4X or higher over the next 3 years.
Do you really think this isn't part of Broadcom's strategy? (including acquisitions)
Do you really think it isn't their main goal to grow through high tech investments that drive this growth ?