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China will Not invade Taiwan

I understand this:

"Far and away, the primary priority for Xi and the CCP is staying in power. Nothing else comes remotely close."

Unfortunately without semiconductors how can Xi and the CCP stay in power?
 
If you ever study histroy of wars，you will find that most of wars don't make sense from many perspectives. People always assume that nations will act purely rational and calculated，but time and time again it proven to be wrong.
 
tonyget said:
If you ever study histroy of wars，you will find that most of wars don't make sense from many perspectives. People always assume that nations will act purely rational and calculated，but time and time again it proven to be wrong.
Click to expand...

I agree. In the words of the great Mike Tsyon "everybody has a plan until they are punched in the mouth"
 
Daniel Nenni said:
I understand this:

"Far and away, the primary priority for Xi and the CCP is staying in power. Nothing else comes remotely close."

Unfortunately without semiconductors how can Xi and the CCP stay in power?
Click to expand...
"Eating Bitterness" (吃苦 - chi ku) is a phrase that means to persevere through hardship without complaint, or even to suffer.

This a big seller in the world of the CCP.

Done it before and they will show how resilient Chinese folk are again.
 
Arthur Hanson said:
I found the article below an excellent view of why China will not invade Taiwan, basically the downside greatly outweighs the limited upside. Any thoughts, views or additions sought and welcome.

www.taiwannews.com.tw

No, China will not invade to get its hands on Taiwan's semiconductor industry | Taiwan News | Sep. 25, 2022 17:38

If China decides to invade Taiwan, semiconductors won't be the reason why | Sep. 25, 2022 17:38
www.taiwannews.com.tw www.taiwannews.com.tw
Click to expand...

Saying that they will not invade Taiwan doesn't mean they wouldn't try.

In the later case, expect even more radical embargoes to happen, and happen more swiftly that with Russia, because China is not an oil exporter.

It will be an instant write-off of a big portion of F500, as much of American business became existentially reliant on Chinese labour, brains, and talent

Apple for example can survive on paper for a few years without selling anything, but would their brand name, and talent pool?
 
I don't think The Chairman really cares about the upsides or downsides. Those don't mean much to him.
His priority is to etch his name and his party into the history book of China (and the world) that he was the only one great leader who stood up to the foreign forces and took "back" Taiwan. With that victory and its halo effect, CCP can stay in power for another 20, 30 or 50 years. Objective achieved and nothing else matters. The only thing maybe holding him back is perhaps he is not confident China has accumulated sufficient resources and capabilities to ensure a win. Maybe need to bite the bullet and wait for a few more years.
 
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