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Cheaper to buy TSM and Reform than invade

Arthur Hanson

Well-known member
With the total cost of a war to gain control of Taiwan and TSM, it would be cheaper to quietly buy TSM through proxies and third parties than go to war with numerous expenses and repercussions. The cost would be high, but war would be staggering when all costs, monetary, political and social are taken into account, just ask Russia. Taiwan is no Ukraine and has a big moat, many friends and allies and a small, but high tech military. Buying it could actually be profitable if done right. Even with restrictions that would accompany even majority control, it could be a very profitable deal. The hardest part would be negotiating the foreign technologies involved. The best answer would be to be TSM's best customer, but this would require China to truly join the international community by becoming a responsible government which in itself would be a wise long term investment. How many dictatorships have done well compared to democracies? Xi will have to overcome the fear of his own people to do this, but could come out far ahead in results and legacy.
 
With the total cost of a war to gain control of Taiwan and TSM, it would be cheaper to quietly buy TSM through proxies and third parties than go to war with numerous expenses and repercussions. The cost would be high, but war would be staggering when all costs, monetary, political and social are taken into account, just ask Russia. Taiwan is no Ukraine and has a big moat, many friends and allies and a small, but high tech military. Buying it could actually be profitable if done right. Even with restrictions that would accompany even majority control, it could be a very profitable deal. The hardest part would be negotiating the foreign technologies involved. The best answer would be to be TSM's best customer, but this would require China to truly join the international community by becoming a responsible government which in itself would be a wise long term investment. How many dictatorships have done well compared to democracies? Xi will have to overcome the fear of his own people to do this, but could come out far ahead in results and legacy.
The government would not allow and has in the past blocked the purchase of it's semiconductor firms. Also TSMC is NOT the reason the PRC wants the ROC. It isn't even number 2 or 3.
 
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