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Trump says Intel has agreed to a deal for US to take 10% equity stake

No. LBT never invited Trump.

That's correct, he got a gun to his head that he was going to get fired, unless he came to KISS the KING's RING.
He did and the rest is HISTORY, everyone knows how POTUS "works", ask his business counterparts in NYC, Atlantic City and everywhere.

That's why NO Wall Street bank wanted to give DJT ANY loan ANYMORE FOREVER! DJT is financial poison.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/do...-major-banks-now-look-lending-money-rcna22068

And as POTUS DJT goes deep into CRYPTO, so anyone around the world could give him a loan, even PUTIN ! No one would know!
 
This whole saga has been quite interesting.
The money that is going to intel was what was supposed to go to them under the Biden Administration. Current funding is $5.7 from remaining Chips Act Allocation, $3.2 Billion from the Secure Enclave Program which was the DOD funding that was counted towards the initial funding pledged to Intel under original Chips Act allocations. They also counted the $2.2 Billion already paid in. What i think many folks are not realizing is that this isn't new money going towards Intel. This is funding that the government had allocated towards Intel which had strings attached.
I don't think the purchase agreement is out yet but its meant to be filed by tomorrow. I believe I saw that registration statement will be filed with SEC by Sept 5t. However, the details are not just 433.323 million shares issued. They will also issue warrants representing an additional 240.5 million shares at $20. Hence the full dilution to existing shareholders is approximately 15%.
The other issue that I see for Intel is just how much of their business is outside of the US. Will government ownership create any new problems in the ability to conduct sales with non US based companies?
Well, at least I don't think there's a problem overseas.
 

Intel Is Trading at a Valuation Not Seen Since the Dot-Com Era. Will Trump Sweeten the Deal for INTC Stock?​


However, it’s the company’s valuation that is raising eyebrows right now. Intel’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 88, with a forward P/E of 227, indicating that there are massively high expectations baked into the stock. Expectations are high because the federal government announced it was taking a 10% stake in Intel by investing $8.9 billion into the company.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/intel-trading-valuation-not-seen-183002239.html
 
From the WSJ:

Inside Intel’s Tricky Dance With Trump

The Truth Social post, the White House meeting, the deal: How the struggling chip company managed a two-week roller-coaster ride​

1756221533970.jpeg


https://www.wsj.com/tech/inside-intels-tricky-dance-with-trump-c03f729c?st=wYaRu5


.........................................................................
In the Oval Office, Tan told the president his ties to Chinese businesses were years in the past and he was loyal to the U.S. He presented ideas for turning Intel around and investing more in the U.S.

Lutnick told Tan he thought it was dangerous to have so much of the global chip-making capacity controlled by foreign companies. Tan agreed, and reiterated that he was dedicated to Trump’s “America First” manufacturing agenda.

By the end of the hourlong discussion, the president was convinced—and agreed to lay off the criticism.

Tan and Lutnick then moved quickly to hammer out a deal for the government to take a minority stake in Intel. It was a complicated negotiation because it is unusual to convert government grants that have already been awarded into equity.

While they were in talks, SoftBank, led by storied tech investor Masayoshi Son, suddenly agreed to put $2 billion into the company, part of its campaign to bet on U.S. firms and appeal to Trump. SoftBank had already pledged to spend at least $100 billion in the U.S. on AI and other tech investments, a move announced by Son at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago club last December. SoftBank had also earlier this year discussed a potential deal to acquire Intel’s chip-manufacturing business.

Intel and the U.S. soon agreed the government would use $8.9 billion in grants that had been committed but not paid to take a nearly 10% equity stake at a slight discount. The U.S. won’t have a say in governance. It already gave Intel $2.2 billion in Chips Act grants.

David Shapiro, a former partner at the Wall Street law firm Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz, drew up the terms, including a provision that the government could acquire another 5% of Intel at a discount if the company sells the majority of its manufacturing business.

The administration insisted on the provision as a type of “poison pill” meant to dissuade the company from fully exiting the manufacturing segment. If Intel were to give the government another 5%, it would further dilute shareholders and complicate the company’s finances.

...........................................................................

But the Intel stake is among the most notable given Trump called for Tan to resign, then quickly brought him to the negotiating table.

“There’s this Darth Vader aspect of the whole thing,” said Gautam Mukunda, a lecturer at the Yale University School of Management who studies innovation and leadership, referring to the “Star Wars” villain who started as good, became evil, then redeemed himself.

“If your situation with the administration can swing so radically in such a short span of time based on nothing more than a meeting, then it can always swing back,” he said.

On Friday, as Tan posed smiling for a photo with Lutnick at the Commerce Department, the CEO “had a real pep in his step,” according to someone who saw him that day.

As the pair gathered in the Oval Office in front of the president to sign the documents formalizing the government’s stake, Trump proposed signing them as well, an unusual suggestion. The two men agreed, and the president added his autograph in large script, saying he hoped he could help “make Intel great” again.


Source:
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/alan...p&rcm=ACoAABgaN-4BTbOnMpW-b02JuSpbUWzScyA2IYY

Kissing the Ring:

.............................................................................
Vance noted that, as a Catholic himself, he would have been comfortable kissing the pope’s ring in greeting, as a sign of filial devotion to Leo, but, as a diplomatic representative of a secular state, he was obliged to meet the pope on those terms.

I’ve seen some frankly bizarre takes on this, ranging from those who think Vance’s possession of any relevant religious sentiments should bar him from office, to others, who seem to think his separating of personal disposition from the formal requirements of office represents the heresy of Americanism — and that failure to kneel before the pope shows an unacceptable division between the private and public man, demanding correction of some kind.
..............................................................................
 
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Interesting:

"The administration insisted on the provision as a type of “poison pill” meant to dissuade the company from fully exiting the manufacturing segment."

I guess that answers the question of "will Lip-Bu Tan sell Intel Foundry Services?"

"The filing includes a contingent warrant that only becomes exercisable if Intel ever stops owning at least 51 percent of its foundry business. The warrant covers about 240.5 million shares, carries a 20 dollar strike price, and expires five years after closing. This functions as a strong deterrent to a foundry spin off, which is why some analysts have called it a kind of poison pill, but it is not a standard rights plan that triggers on outside ownership thresholds."

"For context, Intel’s board policy says it will seek shareholder approval before adopting any poison pill rights plan. That policy remains separate from this government investment agreement."
 
In my opinion, this action by the US government will have implications on Intel's access to Chinese markets. I would not be surprised if the CCP used this to create a national security pretext and exclude Intel from certain markets (especially those that have viable alternatives, even if those happen to be US companies such as AMD)
 
Interesting:

"The administration insisted on the provision as a type of “poison pill” meant to dissuade the company from fully exiting the manufacturing segment."

I guess that answers the question of "will Lip-Bu Tan sell Intel Foundry Services?"

"The filing includes a contingent warrant that only becomes exercisable if Intel ever stops owning at least 51 percent of its foundry business. The warrant covers about 240.5 million shares, carries a 20 dollar strike price, and expires five years after closing. This functions as a strong deterrent to a foundry spin off, which is why some analysts have called it a kind of poison pill, but it is not a standard rights plan that triggers on outside ownership thresholds."

"For context, Intel’s board policy says it will seek shareholder approval before adopting any poison pill rights plan. That policy remains separate from this government investment agreement."
Yes that is the big unalignment in the Board of Intel, Yeary wanted to split INTEL already for some time probably. That wish may have resulted also in PG's exit, and the big loss of 2024 was a good moment to use that to force PG out.

Then for some months Yeary was lobbying himself for buyers of IFS. Did not have a good pitch. And finally the Board appointed a new CEO, LBT.

Yeary had no choice, noone wanted to be CEO of INTEL, so he had to accept LBT. Unfortunately, LBT continued with the NON-SPLIT INTEL vision, after kicking out 15% more people and selling everything he could get rid off.

Not clear to me what LBT's profitable business model will be?
Just an IDM-foundry for all nodes up to including 18A running a gross margin of say 20-25%? Like all the other second place foundries? Didn't product boss say INTEL would not start a project with gross margin less than 50%. Well good luck with that, that will probably not happen for the next 5 years?

So, just take a pause for 10 years with next node R&D? Just filling the surplus capacity at 18A, 7 and 4 for the next decade or so?

And hoping to sell those 8-10 High-NA EUV machines back to ASML? Or asking for a reduced wafer price of TSMC if CC Wei slowly absorbs the surplus high-NA machines the coming 5-10 years from INTEL?

So, I predict Yeary will be out of INTEL pretty soon, now that LBT has kissed the ring, and basically the USG controls the Split-or-not-Split-Intel vision till the midterms, or perhaps even longer, say Jan 2029.

That is quite some time that INTEL with IFS and Product will meddle around.



Well POTUS, Lutnick and Bessent have no capacity for strategic leadership. That's why nobody, who can think independently, wants to work for POTUS.

Read this little story, chilling to know that we, the world outside US and the US-self have 40 more months of this USG:
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/aug/25/trump-staff-incompetent-sycophants


I haven’t even mentioned the towering ineptitude of Trump’s cabinet picks, such as Pete Hegseth, Pam Bondi, Kash Patel, Robert F Kennedy Jr and Kristi Noem.

How to explain the rise of so many incompetent and unprincipled people?

Easy. They could never succeed on their own merits. As soon as their incompetence became apparent – which was likely to be as soon as they took the first job that required some degree of intelligence and integrity – they were fired.

So they learned that to be rewarded with promotions, money and power, they cannot rely on the normal processes and systems of recognition for jobs well done. If they’re to make anything of themselves, they must instead become ass-lickers, lap dogs and sycophants.

They must latch on to someone who values loyalty above integrity or competence, someone for whom fawning obsequiousness is the most important criterion for being hired and promoted, ideally someone who cannot tell the difference between a groveling toady and a knowledgeable adviser.

Enter Trump.

History is strewn with the wreckage of dictatorships that have attracted and promoted incompetent people lacking talent or integrity. As Hannah Arendt explained in her classic The Origins of Totalitarianism:
Totalitarianism in power invariably replaces all first-rate talents, regardless of their sympathies, with those crackpots and fools whose lack of intelligence and creativity is still the best guarantee of their loyalty.


View attachment 3567


Another approach is to spin off the product division from Intel to become XYZ Corporation, while Intel still holds 100% of the manufacturing division.
 

In the meantime, all the milestones and commitments that were imposed on Intel and agreed upon with the Biden Administration are gone. Two of the first parties to benefit from this less-stringent government investment are Brookfield and Apollo, two private equity firms. Now Intel has more cash to pay them the interest or dividends through the “not-real” joint ventures at Intel Arizona and Ireland fabs. Yes, American taxpayers’ money is being used to keep the Apollo–Intel Ireland fab deal profitable for Apollo!

It’s a bad deal for American taxpayers and bad for the goal of strengthening US domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
 
In the meantime, all the milestones and commitments that were imposed on Intel and agreed upon with the Biden Administration are gone. Two of the first parties to benefit from this less-stringent government investment are Brookfield and Apollo, two private equity firms. Now Intel has more cash to pay them the interest or dividends through the “not-real” joint ventures at Intel Arizona and Ireland fabs. Yes, American taxpayers’ money is being used to keep the Apollo–Intel Ireland fab deal profitable for Apollo!

It’s a bad deal for American taxpayers and bad for the goal of strengthening US domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
But it's a semiconductor company born in the United States, right?
It can be said that it is proud that the company can expand its business overseas.

Since it is an international company, some compromise is necessary.
Since I'm buying stocks, I can't complain too much wherever I spend the money…

Well, at least are responsible for strengthening the United States.
 
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