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Trading for a "Get Out of Jail Free" Card? TSMC Holds Board Meeting in the U.S., Analyst Lu Xingzhi Reveals Three Possible Scenarios: "Hope They Don't

XYang2023

Well-known member
Machine translation:

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is set to hold its board meeting in the United States on February 11 (U.S. time), which corresponds to February 12 in Taiwan. With former U.S. President Donald Trump recently threatening to impose a 100% tariff on TSMC, the industry is closely watching the company's next moves regarding "Made in America" manufacturing. Prominent semiconductor analyst Lu Xingzhi speculated on Facebook about several possible scenarios.

Lu questioned whether TSMC is holding the board meeting in the U.S. voluntarily or if it was compelled by the U.S. government. If the latter, what is the reason behind it? Could a major announcement be imminent?

Speculation is mounting that TSMC’s board may reveal significant news. Lu mentioned that he has recently heard several industry insiders discuss key possibilities, including:

  1. Announcing an expansion of U.S. investments
  2. Converting technology equity contributions into free or low-cost technology transfers
  3. A potential multibillion-dollar investment in TikTok’s international division in exchange for temporary protection
Lu analyzed that the best option for TSMC's existing shareholders would be technology equity contributions. However, under pressure from a potential Trump administration, he questioned: "Does TSMC have any bargaining chips at all?"

Regarding the upcoming board meeting, Lu expressed concern, saying, "All we can do now is wait in fear and hope that not all of these scenarios come true."

The post sparked widespread discussion among netizens, with comments such as:

  • "There's no bargaining chip when negotiating with robbers—only surrender."
  • "To put it bluntly, they’re being held hostage by the U.S. government."
  • "Expanding investment? That can always be delayed indefinitely—it seems the most likely outcome."
  • "Will they be forced to support Intel?"
  • "This is just a slow transition to proving they're an American company."
 
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