Arthur Hanson
Well-known member
Special Interests Threaten Automation
Special interests threaten the largest markets for semiconductors/nanotechnology for the tech sector is about faster, better, cheaper at an ever accelerating rate. Semiconductor/nanotechnology for its entire history has proven to drive cost down and performance up at rates once thought impossible and are now taking automation into areas once thought impossible especially, with AI/ML combined with 3D printing of almost everything bringing down even the physical cost of prototyping and limited production runs. Already in many areas, even advanced medical automation is outrunning the top experts in area after area with far better results and is even now performing blood tests robotically drawing and testing the blood with human intervention. As the use of surgical robotic systems spread and start to build large data bases, even surgery will be performed robotically and already has been demonstrated by a Chinese robot that does the complex dental surgery of teeth implants. The one area where automation doesn't face very significant head winds are those involving great danger or hostile to life environments. From accounting, security, medical procedures, advanced 3D printing, inventory systems and many others automation has shown its ability to sharply reduce costs while increasing performance/quality.
<msreadoutspan class="msreadout-line-highlight msreadout-inactive-highlight"><msreadoutspan class="msreadout-word-highlight msreadout-inactive-highlight">Adaptive</msreadoutspan> education will soon be able to out teach even the best teachers/professors shortly by greatly leveraging the best of the best. Soon in many fields the best of</msreadoutspan> the best will be able to leverage their talents by factors of thousands. On top of this adaptive education can adapt to each students learning style, speeding up progress even more. Already special interests are erecting artificial barriers of all types using every type of regulation and restriction they can dream up to the detriment, harm and cost to everyone else by slowing down progress for their own benefit.
Before a project is even started, these factors will have to be taken into account for the financial results could be disastrous for the technology sector. The countries, government bodies and industries that learn how to navigate these challenges will be the winners, not necessarily the best. Soon the greatest part of any technology company will be the ability to navigate the social, political and legal restrictions blocking progress. I hope the US can remain the leader, but if we aren't careful we will loose the battle to countries that know how to embrace, adapt and put to use technology better than us, even though they may be technologically behind. With the "Great Acceleration" in full swing, any individual, organization or political construct that falls behind is threatened severely for compounding in the "Great Acceleration" has the power to make it almost impossible to catch up and those that win will pick up even more speed from the talent and capital that winners inherently attract. This will apply at everything from a personal level to the largest country. We are going to have to rethink how we approach our lives and social structures with entirely new mind sets that have the ability to adapt at ever accelerating rates to the 'Great Acceleration"
This is the greatest opportunity in the history of man, for the first time we can see totally autonomous systems that will be totally superior to what a human can do and by a considerable margin. It will also create social and economic distortions of almost unimaginable size as the best people leverage themselves by factors of thousands and even millions in some cases in more and more areas, making tens of thousands and more obsolete at the press of a button. This will require us to manage this transition with the utmost of care for the social and economic damage could dwarf any war we have ever seen. This is a true revolution with dangers and benefits beyond our imagination and even our belief. All this will be accelerated by the constant compounding of progress leveraging itself. If the special interests in the US aren't dealt with, it will have disastrous results to our standard of living and social structure resulting in horrible consequences that would damage all, even the so called winners. All of our government together with special interests is running counter to the technology trends, giving us ever more disastrous results at ever increasing costs paid for by debt. This includes education, military, the police/court/prison complex, education and infrastructure. These are all areas where advanced technology has cost effective answers to dramatically increase quality and lower costs.
One observation: Seventy five percent of the government workforce is union where there is no competition or market forces to control them and just six and a half percent of the private work force is union for the market has shown they have become major barriers to progress. How much of our tech sector is unionized? Come to your own conclusions.
I feel the most valuable contribution the tech sector has made is that of using creativity and imagination in new uses of new and existing skill sets to expand them into ever more broadly in tackling the challenges before us and ways of improving the world around us on a constantly accelerating rate, wisdom required.
Addition:
Based on our wage cost structure we are behind much of the world on adoption of robotics.
These charts show how Asia is dominating industrial-robot adoption - MIT Technology Review
Comments, thoughts and additions solicited and welcome
Special interests threaten the largest markets for semiconductors/nanotechnology for the tech sector is about faster, better, cheaper at an ever accelerating rate. Semiconductor/nanotechnology for its entire history has proven to drive cost down and performance up at rates once thought impossible and are now taking automation into areas once thought impossible especially, with AI/ML combined with 3D printing of almost everything bringing down even the physical cost of prototyping and limited production runs. Already in many areas, even advanced medical automation is outrunning the top experts in area after area with far better results and is even now performing blood tests robotically drawing and testing the blood with human intervention. As the use of surgical robotic systems spread and start to build large data bases, even surgery will be performed robotically and already has been demonstrated by a Chinese robot that does the complex dental surgery of teeth implants. The one area where automation doesn't face very significant head winds are those involving great danger or hostile to life environments. From accounting, security, medical procedures, advanced 3D printing, inventory systems and many others automation has shown its ability to sharply reduce costs while increasing performance/quality.
<msreadoutspan class="msreadout-line-highlight msreadout-inactive-highlight"><msreadoutspan class="msreadout-word-highlight msreadout-inactive-highlight">Adaptive</msreadoutspan> education will soon be able to out teach even the best teachers/professors shortly by greatly leveraging the best of the best. Soon in many fields the best of</msreadoutspan> the best will be able to leverage their talents by factors of thousands. On top of this adaptive education can adapt to each students learning style, speeding up progress even more. Already special interests are erecting artificial barriers of all types using every type of regulation and restriction they can dream up to the detriment, harm and cost to everyone else by slowing down progress for their own benefit.
Before a project is even started, these factors will have to be taken into account for the financial results could be disastrous for the technology sector. The countries, government bodies and industries that learn how to navigate these challenges will be the winners, not necessarily the best. Soon the greatest part of any technology company will be the ability to navigate the social, political and legal restrictions blocking progress. I hope the US can remain the leader, but if we aren't careful we will loose the battle to countries that know how to embrace, adapt and put to use technology better than us, even though they may be technologically behind. With the "Great Acceleration" in full swing, any individual, organization or political construct that falls behind is threatened severely for compounding in the "Great Acceleration" has the power to make it almost impossible to catch up and those that win will pick up even more speed from the talent and capital that winners inherently attract. This will apply at everything from a personal level to the largest country. We are going to have to rethink how we approach our lives and social structures with entirely new mind sets that have the ability to adapt at ever accelerating rates to the 'Great Acceleration"
This is the greatest opportunity in the history of man, for the first time we can see totally autonomous systems that will be totally superior to what a human can do and by a considerable margin. It will also create social and economic distortions of almost unimaginable size as the best people leverage themselves by factors of thousands and even millions in some cases in more and more areas, making tens of thousands and more obsolete at the press of a button. This will require us to manage this transition with the utmost of care for the social and economic damage could dwarf any war we have ever seen. This is a true revolution with dangers and benefits beyond our imagination and even our belief. All this will be accelerated by the constant compounding of progress leveraging itself. If the special interests in the US aren't dealt with, it will have disastrous results to our standard of living and social structure resulting in horrible consequences that would damage all, even the so called winners. All of our government together with special interests is running counter to the technology trends, giving us ever more disastrous results at ever increasing costs paid for by debt. This includes education, military, the police/court/prison complex, education and infrastructure. These are all areas where advanced technology has cost effective answers to dramatically increase quality and lower costs.
One observation: Seventy five percent of the government workforce is union where there is no competition or market forces to control them and just six and a half percent of the private work force is union for the market has shown they have become major barriers to progress. How much of our tech sector is unionized? Come to your own conclusions.
I feel the most valuable contribution the tech sector has made is that of using creativity and imagination in new uses of new and existing skill sets to expand them into ever more broadly in tackling the challenges before us and ways of improving the world around us on a constantly accelerating rate, wisdom required.
Addition:
Based on our wage cost structure we are behind much of the world on adoption of robotics.
These charts show how Asia is dominating industrial-robot adoption - MIT Technology Review
Comments, thoughts and additions solicited and welcome
Last edited: