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China chip index nears 3-year high as TSMC order fuels self-reliance bets

Daniel Nenni

Admin
Staff member
e1072c26618d67ff73efe8fbdf22c0ac

FILE PHOTO: Illustration picture of Chinese flag with semiconductor chips

SHANGHAI (Reuters) - China's semiconductor index leapt close to a three-year high on Monday on bets a U.S. order halting Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co's shipments of advanced chips to Chinese customers could accelerate Beijing's self-reliance efforts.

TSMC will from Monday suspend shipments of certain sophisticated chips to some Chinese clients after receiving a letter from the U.S. Department of Commerce imposing export restrictions on those products, Reuters reported on Sunday.

Analysts said that while the move might lead to some short-term pain for Chinese firms involved in designing chips for artificial intelligence accelerators and graphics processing units, it could benefit the domestic chipmaking sector as companies would have few alternatives.

The CSI Semiconductor Index jumped more than 6% during trading on Monday to the highest since Dec. 20, 2021, while the CSI Integrated Circuits Index rose 5%. Shares in SMIC, China's largest foundry and the country's main alternative to TSMC, rose more than 4%.

"In the medium and long term it will force the reorganization of the supply chain, increase the demand for domestic advanced process production capacity, and promote technological breakthroughs in upstream semiconductor equipment and materials," Chinese brokerage Cinda Securities said in a note published on Sunday.

Several Chinese technology firms and chip designers have in recent years sought to design their own advanced processors after the U.S. sanctioned Huawei Technologies and barred the likes of Nvidia and AMD from selling their most sophisticated chips to China.

Many rely on Taiwan-based TSMC, the world's leading contract chipmaker, for production. In the third quarter, 11% of TSMC's revenue came from China, the company said.

The U.S. imposed export restrictions on TSMC chips of 7 nanometre or more advanced designs, Reuters reported.

The only foundry in China capable of producing chips at the 7 nm process node is SMIC, which is known for helping Huawei produce chips used in its latest smartphones, including the Mate 60 and Pura 70.

Analysts said SMIC has been making such advanced chips using equipment supplied by companies like the Netherlands' ASML and U.S.-based Applied Materials, which it managed to stockpile before U.S. sanctions took effect.

However, SMIC has faced difficulties in ramping up production due to U.S. export controls barring it from purchasing equipment necessary for advanced chip manufacturing, while domestic alternatives are not yet ready for the effort.

 
Told ya. More customers for SMIC. Thanks Uncle Sam.

The market is already factoring in the future revenue growth for the Chinese semi manufacturers.

In a year or two those chips will be redesigned from a TSMC to a SMIC process. Just like what happened to Huawei's HiSilicon or Phytium. And due to customer demand FinFET production at SMIC will continue to ramp up. You can bet they will find a way to do it.

The West is cutting itself out of the world's largest market for semiconductors to its own detriment.

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China + Hong Kong import 45% of the world's ICs.
 
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The US semiconductor restrictions are a speed bump for China and are making China stronger, absolutely. Not to mention depriving the US economy from China business. Tariffs would have made more sense in this regard. The end result would have been the same but at least money would be made.
 
If the US government wanted to play the semiconductor card against China it would have made much more sense to use it when it mattered. By telegraphing this years in advance the Chinese will just adjust and replace the imports with their own production.

I think the EUV semi tool export ban was a smart thing to do. But forcing the Chinese to make their own chips is not.
 
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