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[SemiAnalysis] Micron’s $100B megafab in NY is at risk of delay due to just 6 “concerned citizens” and their frivolous lawsuit.

Jozo035

Active member

Micron’s $100B megafab in NY is at risk of delay due to just 6 “concerned citizens” and their frivolous lawsuit. (1/10)​


The project has already taken an absurd 1200 days between announcement and groundbreaking. Competitors overseas who began at the same time now have built and working fabs. (2/10)


Micron spent 612 days on the environmental impact study, including a 45 day public input period. Yet hours before groundbreaking, they were hit with a lawsuit calling the process “unnecessarily rushed.” (3/10)

Comments from locals border on NIMBY parody: “We’re not trying to stop any progress, but we don’t want this just bulldozed into our area.” This is a real quote! (4/10)

The lawsuit itself didn’t come from a ground roots uprising. A CA-based workers rights group went door to door in NY seeking plaintiffs. They eventually found just 6 people willing to sign on. But that’s enough to potentially halt the project. (5/10)

A Syracuse local news outlet’s excellent reporting on the group behind the lawsuit, Neighbors for a Better Micron,” found that “before the suit was filed, the group had never held a meeting or a vote. Some members didn’t even know who the others were.” (6/10)

https://t.co/LRuJUkf3nS
One member of the suit, who as a former lawyer you might expect to be smart, says that “Syracuse has the highest child poverty rate in the country. What is Micron doing about that?” Anyone can agree it’s a worthy cause, but do we really think an advanced memory semiconductor manufacturer is the right vehicle to solve it?? (7/10)

To be fair, it is legitimate to consider the environmental impacts of a fab. They are large industrial projects that can be harmful if not built and operated safely. But these last-minute injunctions are rent seeking, not legitimate environmental concern (8/10)

We estimate the lawsuits will cost $100-500M to settle (despite the fact they should be thrown out as frivolous). Ultimately Micron has probably budgeted for it as a small fraction of a $100B project. Still there is a non-zero chance these 6 “concerned citizens” delay the entire thing. (9/10)

If the U.S. wants to compete in strategic technologies, like Micron’s project which produces a key ingredient in the AI supply chain, it must reduce frivolous, rent seeking litigation. AI tools will only empower these people as it trivializes nitpicking on complex rules and 10,000 page documents. (10/10)

 
the key is clear expectations, quick review, quick decisions, no do overs.

If you don;t want a fab or Datacenter in your area fine.... Other people do. If not in the US, we can build in other countries.
 
I'm familiar with Vermont NIMBYism, which helped drive IBM's 300mm fab away to Fishkill in the 90s. But it's true their 200mm fab in VT is a superfund site in waiting, one of the main reasons GF keeps it operating to this day.

It's also true that Lake Onondaga is the single most polluted lake in American history, and it's 15 miles away from Lake Skaneateles which is the cleanest lake in the world.

So it's fair to say balancing evironment and economy matters, but this sounds completely astroturfed. Definitely some kind of parapolitical chicanery.
 
When will companies learn to stop building in states that don't want an economy?
I think it's obvious:

The commitment of government dollars to support Micron’s project is already in the billions. Here’s what’s been committed by the local and state governments in incentives:

  • $5.5 billion in Green CHIPS Excelsior tax credits to be disbursed in two phases over the next 20 years
  • $100 million from New York State’s Empire State Development corporation for community benefits fund
  • A 49-year payment in lieu of taxes (PILOT) agreement with the Onondaga County Industrial Development Agency that will abate local and state sales tax on construction
  • A $5 million facade grant from Onondaga County
  • A $10 million investment by Syracuse University and Onondaga County to establish a semiconductor research center at the Syracuse Center for Excellence
  • A $5 million workforce attraction grant from Onondaga County to assist with early ramp-up on hiring
  • A commitment by New York state to spend $200 million on infrastructure improvements in the area
It was most likely the $5M "facade grant" from Onondaga County that hooked Micron.
 
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