2018 Semiconductor Forecasts Revised Up

2018 Semiconductor Forecasts Revised Up
by Bill Jewell on 06-14-2018 at 12:00 pm

Forecasts for 2018 semiconductor market growth have been revised upward from earlier in the year. In January to February 2018, projections ranged from 5.9% from Mike Cowan to our 12% at Semiconductor Intelligence. Forecasts released in March to June range from Gartner’s 11.8% to our 16%. The latest forecasts average an increase… Read More


Semiconductors could be up 12% in 2018

Semiconductors could be up 12% in 2018
by Bill Jewell on 03-02-2018 at 12:00 pm

The global semiconductor market grew 21.6% for the year 2017, according to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS). The market was much stronger than anticipated at the beginning of year. Semiconductor Intelligence tracked publicly available forecasts to determine which was the most accurate. We used forecasts made … Read More


Capex Driving Overcapacity?

Capex Driving Overcapacity?
by Bill Jewell on 10-29-2017 at 12:00 pm

Semiconductor capital expenditures (cap ex) in 2017 will increase significantly from 2016. In August, Gartner forecast 2017 cap ex growth of 10.2% and IC Insights projected 20.2% growth. SEMI expects spending on semiconductor fabrication equipment will increase 37%. Cap ex growth is primarily driven by increased capacity… Read More


China to become largest semiconductor producer

China to become largest semiconductor producer
by Bill Jewell on 03-24-2017 at 12:00 pm

China has long been the largest market for semiconductors, accounting for over 50% of the global market for the last five years. China is now on track to become the largest semiconductor manufacturer in the next few years. The chart below shows China’s integrated circuit (IC) industry from 2010 to 2016, according to the China Semiconductor… Read More


Shakeup in Analog Rankings

Shakeup in Analog Rankings
by Bill Jewell on 09-20-2016 at 4:00 pm

Last week Renesas Electronics announced an agreement to acquire Intersil Corporation for US$3.22 billion. This follows July’s announcement that Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) will acquire Linear Technology Corp. (LTC) for $14.8 billion. These deals will cause a shakeup in the analog IC market. According to IC Insights ranking … Read More


Semiconductors out of step with electronics

Semiconductors out of step with electronics
by Bill Jewell on 07-02-2016 at 7:00 am

The global semiconductor market has been on a decline (three-month-average change versus a year ago) since July 2015 according to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS). Although numerous factors affect the semiconductor market (capacity and utilization, prices, inventory levels) in the near term, the long term growth… Read More


Semiconductor market going negative?

Semiconductor market going negative?
by Bill Jewell on 06-09-2016 at 7:00 am

Several recent forecasts for the 2016 semiconductor market point to a decline. The title of this post is the same as we used for in October 2015. In October, Semiconductor Intelligence projected the market would grow 1.0% in 2015 despite several predictions of the market going negative. 2015 finished with a slight 0.2% decline.… Read More


Semiconductor capital spending slow in 2016

Semiconductor capital spending slow in 2016
by Bill Jewell on 05-01-2016 at 12:00 pm

The outlook for semiconductor capital expenditures (capex) in 2016 is weak. Gartner’s January 2016 forecast called for a decline of 4.7%. IC Insights in February projected a 0.8% decline. The table below shows the Gartner forecast along with the capex forecasts from the top three spenders (Intel, Samsung and TSMC) which… Read More


Shifting Asia Electronics Production

Shifting Asia Electronics Production
by Bill Jewell on 03-25-2016 at 7:00 am

Japan emerged as the largest supplier of consumer electronics in the 1980s. The Japan surge was driven by lower cost labor than in the U.S. and Europe as well as innovative products from companies such as Sony, Toshiba and Panasonic (formerly Matsushita). By the 1990s much consumer electronics production shifted to South Korea… Read More


Semiconductor capital spending consolidating

Semiconductor capital spending consolidating
by Bill Jewell on 12-14-2015 at 10:00 pm

Shipments of semiconductor wafer fab equipment are expected to grow 2.5% in 2016 after 0.5% growth in 2015 according to the December forecast from Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI). Gartner is more pessimistic, with its October forecast calling for fab equipment to decline 0.5% in 2015 and drop 2.5%… Read More