Arthur Hanson
Well-known member
My best guess on this is three years. I get this figure from the increasing ability of new technologies to feed on themselves by compounding, which results in ever accelerating rates of progress and change. Also as we are seeing with many technologies, the rate of implementation follows the same pattern. This will be the greatest disruption in the history of mankind for with automation of everything including the professions the disruptions will accelerate at a rate once considered inconceivable. This will trend become the greatest turning point in the history of mankind. Now is the time we should start preparing not only ourselves, but the world around us for if we don't the most massive changes in the history of mankind could lead to destructive disruptions instead of progressing mankind as we hope for. The SemiWiki platform and others like it are the ideal places to plan on what kind of ecosystem of AI/ML will lead to the most benefit with the least dangers or downside. Left to random chance the downside could literally be unimaginable as disruption occurs on a scale most can't even imagine. To even start this process, we have to do our best to determine the timeline AI/ML progress will follow. Both the dangers and opportunities are almost beyond the imagination. All comments and suggestions welcome. I hope this can turn into an ongoing process for that's what it will have to be as we witness the greatest change in human history, an intelligence greater than ourselves.
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