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The Greatest Race in History, The AI/ML Race

Arthur Hanson

Well-known member
The high stakes AI/ML race is the most important race in the tech sector, far more than any product or service offering. If there is a clear winner, they will have a product of the most unprecedented power and value in the entire history of mankind. Right now it's a race with Alphabet probably in the lead, with Apple, Google, Facebook, Amazon, Microsoft and a very small number of others in the race. The stakes are not just huge, but exponential, for they winner will be able to use its AI/ML to not only advance faster, but to leverage the value of its workforce by several factors, creating a lead that widens at an ever accelerating rate. They will be able buy access to the cutting edge foundries and their latest technology for themselves or partners that provide the needed processors and memory that AI/ML will require. This also applies to the race for talent as seen by the frenzied, high power, high cost recruiting at AI/ML conferences and companies being bought not for any revenue, but talent alone. Like a nuclear reaction, once AI/ML takes hold its growth rate could literally explode at a rate never seen before in any human endeavor. It is not hard to see how like a nuclear reaction it would feed on itself and be impossible to stop once it gets going. I wonder if someone will develop the equivalent of control rods or in this case, that proves an impossibility. By the time this is over, more money and human resources will go into this project than any other project in history.

The AI/ML race is all about leverage on a scale never seen before, this is why the pressure to be first is so intense and expensive. One of the major questions is will there be but one way to get to true AI/ML or several? We are probably a decade or more away from true AI/ML, but even getting on the right track will give the leader unprecedented leverage that will grow exponentially if handled properly. Because of the complexity, I'm also sure top legal talent will be needed for protection and defense of IP for both hardware and software. AI/ML will have such large value a number of political, legal, moral and ethical values will come into play. It will be interesting to see how all this plays out on the world stage of vastly different moral, legal, ethical and cultural values.

AI/ML will touch just about every aspect of our lives and everything we come in contact with. Our technologies, governmental, social and business structures will be influenced and change in ways we can hardly imagine. With the semi and software industries being at the center of this momentous event, it is to important to be left to chance for it could be as dangerous as it is productive. As the semi sector plays a key role in this, any thoughts, comment or ideas are solicited and wanted. Anyone who works or invests in the semi field has a stake in the eventual outcome, whether they know it or not. In fact, because of the potential power of an independent AI/ML, every person on the planet has a stake in it, but just a few will have the power to influence the outcome.

PS Alphabet just added an AI development center in China
 
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