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Exclusive: Intel Tells Staff It Will Disclose Scope Of Work With Elon Musk In ‘Coming Weeks’

Fred Chen

Moderator
By Dylan Martin
April 14, 2026, 5:30 PM EDT

‘[Elon Musk’s] expansive vision across AI, transportation, communications, robotics and space travel relies heavily on an ample and uninterrupted supply of silicon chips. Intel is thus a natural partner to help him realize his vision,’ Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan tells staff in a memo.

Intel plans to disclose to staff the “scope and nature” of its involvement with Elon Musk’s ambitious “Terafab” chip manufacturing project in the “coming weeks,” according to a memo its CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, sent last week.

Tan sent the memo, which was seen by CRN, to Intel employees last Friday, two days after the semiconductor giant announced its involvement with Musk’s companies—SpaceX, xAI and Tesla—on Terafab, a potential boon to Intel amid its latest turnaround attempt.

The Santa Clara, Calif.-based company has released very few details about its participation in the Terafab project, for which there is also limited information.

Tan said the collaboration on Terafab represented a “strategic alliance” between Intel and Musk’s companies in his Friday memo.

“His expansive vision across AI, transportation, communications, robotics and space travel relies heavily on an ample and uninterrupted supply of silicon chips,” he wrote. “Intel is thus a natural partner to help him realize his vision.”

An Intel spokesperson declined to comment.

What Is Terafab, Elon Musk’s Latest Initiative?​

Musk announced Terafab last month, saying that it would start with two advanced chip fabrication plants in Austin, Texas. The first would be focused on chips for cars and humanoid robotics, and the second on chips for AI data centers in space.

The Tesla and SpaceX leader said he is pursuing the project because he expects his companies in the future to require magnitudes greater capacity in chip production than what is currently available throughout the world.

“We either build the Terafab or we don’t have the chips,” he said, according to Reuters.

The Terafab name is in reference to Musk’s goal of manufacturing chips equal to one terawatt of computing capacity every year, which he has said is roughly two times what is currently available in the United States.

Supply Chain Expert: There Are Lots Of Unknowns About Terafab​

Supply chain expert Brad Gastwirth said in an email last week that while the “ambition implied is significant” for Terafab, “visibility into execution remains limited.”

“There is no defined timeline to high volume manufacturing, no disclosure around capital intensity or cost per wafer, and no guidance on yield ramp expectations, which are critical given how sensitive advanced node production remains,” he wrote.

“These gaps leave a wide range of possible outcomes and make it difficult to anchor expectations today,” added Gastwirth, who is global head of research and market intelligence at supply chain services firm Circular Technology.

What Intel Has Said Publicly About Terafab Involvement​

Intel limited its announcement last Wednesday to 60-word posts on Musk’s social media platform, X, as well as LinkedIn, with no press release published to its website.

In the social media posts, the chipmaker said that it is “proud to join the Terafab project with SpaceX, xAI and Tesla to refactor silicon fab technology.”

“Our ability to design, fabricate and package ultra-high-performance chips at scale will accelerate Terafab’s aim to produce 1 [terawatt per year] of compute to power future advances in AI and robotics,” Intel added, noting that it hosted Musk the prior weekend.

Tan Held ‘Wide-Ranging’ Discussions With Musk​

In his Friday memo, Tan reiterated his own social media remarks that Intel “will work closely with these companies to help bring up Terafab.”

He called the project an “ambitious plan to build advanced silicon logic, memory and packaging capabilities and to accelerate chip design and manufacturing.”

After calling the Tesla and SpaceX leader “a highly strategic thinker and one of the most audacious and visionary builders of our time,” Tan noted that he had “wide-ranging and deep conversations” with Musk and Musk’s colleagues.

From those discussions, “both sides quickly realized that working together would be mutually beneficial to furthering our shared objectives,” the Intel CEO added.

While Tan told his employees that Intel “will disclose more broadly the scope and nature of this engagement” in the coming weeks, he did not indicate whether the disclosure would be shared in a public manner.

Intel CTO To Manage Intel’s Terafab Involvement​

In the memo, Tan indicated that his chief of staff and CTO, Pushkar Ranade, will manage Intel’s involvement with Terafab, which he called a “highly strategic project.” The CEO added that he will directly oversee the engagement.

“I have asked Pushkar to assemble and engage select technologists across the company to contribute to this project,” Tan wrote.

An 18-year company veteran, Ranade was promoted to become Tan’s chief of staff in March of last year, the same month the CEO joined the company.

Tan then gave Ranade the extra responsibility of interim CTO following the departure of Intel’s chief technology and AI officer, Sachin Katti, from a few months earlier.

“In the meantime, I ask all of you to support Pushkar on this project,” Tan wrote.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
By Dylan Martin
April 14, 2026, 5:30 PM EDT

‘[Elon Musk’s] expansive vision across AI, transportation, communications, robotics and space travel relies heavily on an ample and uninterrupted supply of silicon chips. Intel is thus a natural partner to help him realize his vision,’ Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan tells staff in a memo.

Intel plans to disclose to staff the “scope and nature” of its involvement with Elon Musk’s ambitious “Terafab” chip manufacturing project in the “coming weeks,” according to a memo its CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, sent last week.

Tan sent the memo, which was seen by CRN, to Intel employees last Friday, two days after the semiconductor giant announced its involvement with Musk’s companies—SpaceX, xAI and Tesla—on Terafab, a potential boon to Intel amid its latest turnaround attempt.

The Santa Clara, Calif.-based company has released very few details about its participation in the Terafab project, for which there is also limited information.

Tan said the collaboration on Terafab represented a “strategic alliance” between Intel and Musk’s companies in his Friday memo.

“His expansive vision across AI, transportation, communications, robotics and space travel relies heavily on an ample and uninterrupted supply of silicon chips,” he wrote. “Intel is thus a natural partner to help him realize his vision.”

An Intel spokesperson declined to comment.

What Is Terafab, Elon Musk’s Latest Initiative?​

Musk announced Terafab last month, saying that it would start with two advanced chip fabrication plants in Austin, Texas. The first would be focused on chips for cars and humanoid robotics, and the second on chips for AI data centers in space.

The Tesla and SpaceX leader said he is pursuing the project because he expects his companies in the future to require magnitudes greater capacity in chip production than what is currently available throughout the world.

“We either build the Terafab or we don’t have the chips,” he said, according to Reuters.

The Terafab name is in reference to Musk’s goal of manufacturing chips equal to one terawatt of computing capacity every year, which he has said is roughly two times what is currently available in the United States.

Supply Chain Expert: There Are Lots Of Unknowns About Terafab​

Supply chain expert Brad Gastwirth said in an email last week that while the “ambition implied is significant” for Terafab, “visibility into execution remains limited.”

“There is no defined timeline to high volume manufacturing, no disclosure around capital intensity or cost per wafer, and no guidance on yield ramp expectations, which are critical given how sensitive advanced node production remains,” he wrote.

“These gaps leave a wide range of possible outcomes and make it difficult to anchor expectations today,” added Gastwirth, who is global head of research and market intelligence at supply chain services firm Circular Technology.

What Intel Has Said Publicly About Terafab Involvement​

Intel limited its announcement last Wednesday to 60-word posts on Musk’s social media platform, X, as well as LinkedIn, with no press release published to its website.

In the social media posts, the chipmaker said that it is “proud to join the Terafab project with SpaceX, xAI and Tesla to refactor silicon fab technology.”

“Our ability to design, fabricate and package ultra-high-performance chips at scale will accelerate Terafab’s aim to produce 1 [terawatt per year] of compute to power future advances in AI and robotics,” Intel added, noting that it hosted Musk the prior weekend.

Tan Held ‘Wide-Ranging’ Discussions With Musk​

In his Friday memo, Tan reiterated his own social media remarks that Intel “will work closely with these companies to help bring up Terafab.”

He called the project an “ambitious plan to build advanced silicon logic, memory and packaging capabilities and to accelerate chip design and manufacturing.”

After calling the Tesla and SpaceX leader “a highly strategic thinker and one of the most audacious and visionary builders of our time,” Tan noted that he had “wide-ranging and deep conversations” with Musk and Musk’s colleagues.

From those discussions, “both sides quickly realized that working together would be mutually beneficial to furthering our shared objectives,” the Intel CEO added.

While Tan told his employees that Intel “will disclose more broadly the scope and nature of this engagement” in the coming weeks, he did not indicate whether the disclosure would be shared in a public manner.

Intel CTO To Manage Intel’s Terafab Involvement​

In the memo, Tan indicated that his chief of staff and CTO, Pushkar Ranade, will manage Intel’s involvement with Terafab, which he called a “highly strategic project.” The CEO added that he will directly oversee the engagement.

“I have asked Pushkar to assemble and engage select technologists across the company to contribute to this project,” Tan wrote.

An 18-year company veteran, Ranade was promoted to become Tan’s chief of staff in March of last year, the same month the CEO joined the company.

Tan then gave Ranade the extra responsibility of interim CTO following the departure of Intel’s chief technology and AI officer, Sachin Katti, from a few months earlier.

“In the meantime, I ask all of you to support Pushkar on this project,” Tan wrote.


Why can’t Intel Foundry provide manufacturing services to SpaceX, xAI, and Tesla instead of helping Elon Musk build his own fabs and create a competitor to Intel itself?

Does Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan see very limited potential for Intel Foundry in attracting external customers?

Or is Intel’s financial situation forcing it to share, sell, or license its own technology to help Elon Musk?
 
The most recent Intel JV with Micron to develop special non-DRAM, non-NAND memory had its own fabs and dedicated personnel. I think we’ll see the same with Terafab.

With 75K employees, I don’t think Intel Foundry and Terafab JV can both exist going forward. Tesla wants to get into the Foundry business with gusto. Intel wants to exit the foundry business and go full fabless. Once all is said and done that’s probably what will happen: A split.
 
The most recent Intel JV with Micron to develop special non-DRAM, non-NAND memory had its own fabs and dedicated personnel. I think we’ll see the same with Terafab.

With 75K employees, I don’t think Intel Foundry and Terafab JV can both exist going forward. Tesla wants to get into the Foundry business with gusto. Intel wants to exit the foundry business and go full fabless. Once all is said and done that’s probably what will happen: A split.

In the Intel–Micron joint venture, Micron was already a highly capable player in semiconductor manufacturing and had access to Intel’s own manufacturing technology. By contrast, in the Terafab case, SpaceX and Tesla have no background in semiconductor manufacturing.

Intel may, therefore, view this as a potential exit path for Intel Foundry.
 
After being in the fab industry for 30+ years, I am fully aware of the crazy complexities of fab and foundry business, especially with the ever advancing nodes, 5nm/3/2/1x... It's staggering. TSMC took 35+ years to get to today's position, with hard work and also lots of luck. Morris and his gang bet the entire company with each major node transition, live or die.

But Elon Musk is a disruptor by nature. No one should view Elon as just another aggressive businessman taking aggressive actions. Even though we're not sure what secrets up his sleeves, he seems dead serious about this Terafab idea (already placed POs to most equipment companies, hundreds of tools, not giant order in today SME world but still significant). Intel already have advanced nodes but always suck when comes to execution (comparing to TSMC's relentless pace and repeatability). But execution is also one of Elon's strengthes (how Tesla mfg shaped up whenever he decides to sleep on the factory floor). This partnership should benefit both parties, Intel getting help from Elon on execution while Elon, for his Terafab, gaining a strong launch pad already loaded with Intel advanced node mfg processes and know-hows.

I'm looking forward to both Intel and Elon Musk great success. It may take some time but I'd give it 3 years to see major impacts to the industry.

Also from what I read, Elon is not building a foundry. Output from Terafab is all for his own companies consumption, vertical integration of his list of companies.
 
This partnership should benefit both parties, Intel getting help from Elon on execution while Elon, for his Terafab, gaining a strong launch pad already loaded with Intel advanced node mfg processes and know-hows.
Intel licensing 14A process to Terafab is like weaning them off, if not creating a competitor.
 
After being in the fab industry for 30+ years, I am fully aware of the crazy complexities of fab and foundry business, especially with the ever advancing nodes, 5nm/3/2/1x... It's staggering. TSMC took 35+ years to get to today's position, with hard work and also lots of luck. Morris and his gang bet the entire company with each major node transition, live or die.

But Elon Musk is a disruptor by nature. No one should view Elon as just another aggressive businessman taking aggressive actions. Even though we're not sure what secrets up his sleeves, he seems dead serious about this Terafab idea (already placed POs to most equipment companies, hundreds of tools, not giant order in today SME world but still significant). Intel already have advanced nodes but always suck when comes to execution (comparing to TSMC's relentless pace and repeatability). But execution is also one of Elon's strengthes (how Tesla mfg shaped up whenever he decides to sleep on the factory floor). This partnership should benefit both parties, Intel getting help from Elon on execution while Elon, for his Terafab, gaining a strong launch pad already loaded with Intel advanced node mfg processes and know-hows.

I'm looking forward to both Intel and Elon Musk great success. It may take some time but I'd give it 3 years to see major impacts to the industry.

Also from what I read, Elon is not building a foundry. Output from Terafab is all for his own companies consumption, vertical integration of his list of companies.

Yes, IDM 3.0. I'm posting an article first thing tomorrow morning. This Terafab thing is definitely a chicken-little moment that we will not soon forget!

Even Anastasia in Tech got suckered in :ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO::

 
By Dylan Martin
April 14, 2026, 5:30 PM EDT

‘[Elon Musk’s] expansive vision across AI, transportation, communications, robotics and space travel relies heavily on an ample and uninterrupted supply of silicon chips. Intel is thus a natural partner to help him realize his vision,’ Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan tells staff in a memo.

Intel plans to disclose to staff the “scope and nature” of its involvement with Elon Musk’s ambitious “Terafab” chip manufacturing project in the “coming weeks,” according to a memo its CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, sent last week.

Tan sent the memo, which was seen by CRN, to Intel employees last Friday, two days after the semiconductor giant announced its involvement with Musk’s companies—SpaceX, xAI and Tesla—on Terafab, a potential boon to Intel amid its latest turnaround attempt.

The Santa Clara, Calif.-based company has released very few details about its participation in the Terafab project, for which there is also limited information.

Tan said the collaboration on Terafab represented a “strategic alliance” between Intel and Musk’s companies in his Friday memo.

“His expansive vision across AI, transportation, communications, robotics and space travel relies heavily on an ample and uninterrupted supply of silicon chips,” he wrote. “Intel is thus a natural partner to help him realize his vision.”

An Intel spokesperson declined to comment.

What Is Terafab, Elon Musk’s Latest Initiative?​

Musk announced Terafab last month, saying that it would start with two advanced chip fabrication plants in Austin, Texas. The first would be focused on chips for cars and humanoid robotics, and the second on chips for AI data centers in space.

The Tesla and SpaceX leader said he is pursuing the project because he expects his companies in the future to require magnitudes greater capacity in chip production than what is currently available throughout the world.

“We either build the Terafab or we don’t have the chips,” he said, according to Reuters.

The Terafab name is in reference to Musk’s goal of manufacturing chips equal to one terawatt of computing capacity every year, which he has said is roughly two times what is currently available in the United States.

Supply Chain Expert: There Are Lots Of Unknowns About Terafab​

Supply chain expert Brad Gastwirth said in an email last week that while the “ambition implied is significant” for Terafab, “visibility into execution remains limited.”

“There is no defined timeline to high volume manufacturing, no disclosure around capital intensity or cost per wafer, and no guidance on yield ramp expectations, which are critical given how sensitive advanced node production remains,” he wrote.

“These gaps leave a wide range of possible outcomes and make it difficult to anchor expectations today,” added Gastwirth, who is global head of research and market intelligence at supply chain services firm Circular Technology.

What Intel Has Said Publicly About Terafab Involvement​

Intel limited its announcement last Wednesday to 60-word posts on Musk’s social media platform, X, as well as LinkedIn, with no press release published to its website.

In the social media posts, the chipmaker said that it is “proud to join the Terafab project with SpaceX, xAI and Tesla to refactor silicon fab technology.”

“Our ability to design, fabricate and package ultra-high-performance chips at scale will accelerate Terafab’s aim to produce 1 [terawatt per year] of compute to power future advances in AI and robotics,” Intel added, noting that it hosted Musk the prior weekend.

Tan Held ‘Wide-Ranging’ Discussions With Musk​

In his Friday memo, Tan reiterated his own social media remarks that Intel “will work closely with these companies to help bring up Terafab.”

He called the project an “ambitious plan to build advanced silicon logic, memory and packaging capabilities and to accelerate chip design and manufacturing.”

After calling the Tesla and SpaceX leader “a highly strategic thinker and one of the most audacious and visionary builders of our time,” Tan noted that he had “wide-ranging and deep conversations” with Musk and Musk’s colleagues.

From those discussions, “both sides quickly realized that working together would be mutually beneficial to furthering our shared objectives,” the Intel CEO added.

While Tan told his employees that Intel “will disclose more broadly the scope and nature of this engagement” in the coming weeks, he did not indicate whether the disclosure would be shared in a public manner.

Intel CTO To Manage Intel’s Terafab Involvement​

In the memo, Tan indicated that his chief of staff and CTO, Pushkar Ranade, will manage Intel’s involvement with Terafab, which he called a “highly strategic project.” The CEO added that he will directly oversee the engagement.

“I have asked Pushkar to assemble and engage select technologists across the company to contribute to this project,” Tan wrote.

An 18-year company veteran, Ranade was promoted to become Tan’s chief of staff in March of last year, the same month the CEO joined the company.

Tan then gave Ranade the extra responsibility of interim CTO following the departure of Intel’s chief technology and AI officer, Sachin Katti, from a few months earlier.

“In the meantime, I ask all of you to support Pushkar on this project,” Tan wrote.


My article will post tomorrow but here is something to remember:

Donald Trump Truth Social (Aug 7, 2025)
“The CEO of INTEL is highly CONFLICTED and must resign, immediately. There is no other solution to this problem. Thank you for your attention to this problem!”

This was on Thursday. Lip-Bu met with Donald Trump the following Monday at the White House which resulted in this:

“I met with Mr. Lip-Bu Tan, the CEO of INTEL. The meeting was a very interesting one. His success and rise is an amazing story. We discussed many things, including the future of Intel and the importance of U.S. chip manufacturing. We will see what happens, but it was an honor to meet him.”

Is there any question what is coming down the investment pipe for Intel?
 
My article will post tomorrow but here is something to remember:

Donald Trump Truth Social (Aug 7, 2025)
“The CEO of INTEL is highly CONFLICTED and must resign, immediately. There is no other solution to this problem. Thank you for your attention to this problem!”

This was on Thursday. Lip-Bu met with Donald Trump the following Monday at the White House which resulted in this:

“I met with Mr. Lip-Bu Tan, the CEO of INTEL. The meeting was a very interesting one. His success and rise is an amazing story. We discussed many things, including the future of Intel and the importance of U.S. chip manufacturing. We will see what happens, but it was an honor to meet him.”

Is there any question what is coming down the investment pipe for Intel?

BIDEN's Chip Act and Trump's implementation prevents INTEL from splitting off the Foundry unit in a legally independent entity. Foundry and INTEL are supposed to stay one according to the legal documents around the Chips Act subsidy INTEL got.

Furthermore, I'm sure Musk is very interested in the 35% tax write off with the IRS prepayment checks of the Chips Act, as long as Musk has his plans started before 1 Jan 2027!

Remember "eternal" 35% prepayment checks by Uncle Sam to Musk for Terafab investments the coming 2 decades is not a bad deal for Musk to pay for his Trillions investments for Terafab.

As long as Musk keeps writing personal checks in the hundreds of millions for the 2026-midterms and the 2028 presidential elections for the GOP candidates, Musk will keep his 35% prepayment checks for Terafab investments the coming years. The SpaceX/IPO will pay the rest of his checks, like TESLA's limited free cashflow will fund Terafab investments.

Musk's people are financial engineers of the first class, and with a "PONZI" top guy hyping everything he does like Musk is, there is no doubt Musk will find millions of suckers for his SpaceX IPO. And NASA's top guy put there by Musk via Trump will make sure they'll get chash flow, like Pete Hegseth is doing for DOW (..of WAR) towards Musk.

Musk doesn't care about financial prudency, he is like Trump: let other pay the bills, prefarably suckers and Uncle Sam. All playing by the SEC (inclusion in NASDAQ100 and S&P500 shortly after IPO) and IRS rules that were made for/by them. These Wall Street's changes for SpaceX/IPO will make sure billions of pension funds and others will be forced to buy SpaceX shares via those broad market index funds, supporting the share price of SpaceX after IPO.

As said the best financial engineers and Wall Street influencers around the richest guy in the world. A win-win for Musk and Wall Strreet, a sucker for Main Street finances and Uncle Sam's skyhigh budget deficit and USA's debt/balance sheet.

Musk nor Trump care, we'll have to watch the Bond Vigilantes' moves the coming decade!

Cheers!
 
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Musk's people are financial engineers of the first class, and with a "PONZI" top guy hyping everything he does like Musk is, there is no doubt Musk will find millions of suckers for his SpaceX IPO. And NASA's top guy put there by Musk via Trump will make sure they'll get chash flow, like Pete Hegseth is doing for DOW (..of WAR) towards Musk.
Musk have kind of monopoly in LEO communication which is critical in modern warfare (Ukraine). Dow probably can't replace it so they pay. US would be behind both China and Russia in space rocket launches without SpaceX so again, if there is complaining without constructive feedback then it has no weight.

What i mean is that I don't think that different administration would have other options.
 
we'll have to watch the Bond Vigilantes' moves the coming decade!
Musk is looking more and more like Hugo Drax, the villain from the worst Bond film ever. Putting many heavy payloads into space so he can build and populate his own private space station, with a plan to poison earth and repopulate with his own progeny !
 
Musk have kind of monopoly in LEO communication which is critical in modern warfare (Ukraine). Dow probably can't replace it so they pay. US would be behind both China and Russia in space rocket launches without SpaceX so again, if there is complaining without constructive feedback then it has no weight.

What i mean is that I don't think that different administration would have other options.
DOGE?

Yes, Musk is good opening new stuff for a while till competition shows up (EV China) and he needs to pivot as he looses interest. He does not want to compete with people who are doing things better than he does.

Musk burns through people like others use toillet paper. Many smart people seem to know to stay away from him.

We will see how steep his learning curve will be in leading edge logic FAB-land! He hates it when people do not put his wishes/demands on the top priority spot.

What happend to Mars, did the planet dissapear only from Musk's radar?

Musk is not my cup of tea. The world outside of Musk is big enough!


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As of early 2026, Elon Musk’s history of ambitious, often "years-away" timelines has led to a significant list of postponed or modified goals, particularly regarding autonomous driving and new vehicle production. While many products eventually arrive, they frequently do so long after the original deadlines and with different specifications.
Major Unfulfilled Promises & Delays (As of 2026)
  • Full Self-Driving (FSD) Unsupervised (2016–2026):
    • The Promise: Since 2016, Musk claimed Teslas would achieve full autonomy within a year or two. As of April 2026, FSD remains "supervised" (SAE Level 2), requiring constant driver attention.
    • The Failure: Musk has consistently moved the goalposts, with recent April 2026 admissions pushing potential unsupervised FSD to late 2026 or later, citing a need for 10 billion miles of data.
  • HW3 Capability for Full Autonomy (2026):
    • The Promise: Millions of cars sold between 2016 and 2023 were advertised as having the necessary hardware (Hardware 3) for full self-driving.
    • The Reality: In April 2026, Musk confirmed that HW3 vehicles "simply do not have the capability to achieve unsupervised FSD," requiring HW4 or newer hardware, creating a potential legal issue.
  • 1 Million Robotaxis by 2020 (2019–2026):
    • The Promise: In 2019, Musk was "very confident" that a million driverless robotaxis would be on the road by 2020.
    • The Reality: Only in 2025 did a limited trial start in Texas, with the specialized "Cybercab" production delayed until at least 2026, with experts questioning its viability compared to rivals.
  • Tesla Roadster 2 (2017–2026):
    • The Promise: Unveiled in 2017 with a promised 2020 launch date.
    • The Failure: The release has been delayed at least eight times. As of April 2026, it is again delayed from an April reveal to "a month or so" later, with production unlikely before 2027.
  • Optimus Humanoid Robot (2025–2026):
    • The Promise: In early 2025, the goal was to produce 10,000 Optimus robots by the end of that year.
    • The Reality: By early 2026, production is described as "quite slow" and "agonizingly slow," with reports suggesting only around 1,000 were produced before manufacturing halted, contradicting earlier ambitious manufacturing timelines.
  • $40,000 Cybertruck (2019–2026):
    • The Promise: The Cybertruck was originally promised with a starting price around $40,000.
    • The Reality: The production version has been significantly more expensive, with lower-cost variants delayed indefinitely.
  • Starship Operation & Payload Costs (2019–2025):
    • The Promise: In 2019, Musk promised orbital flight within six months and low-cost payload delivery ($10/kg).
    • The Reality: As of mid-2025, Starship has not yet reached full operational orbit or delivered a commercial payload, with early tests suffering from structural failures.
      Recharged +14
Other Ongoing Delays & Issues
  • Declining Deliveries (2025): Tesla delivered fewer cars in 2025 than in 2024, missing growth targets for the second year in a row.
  • DOGE $2 Trillion Cut: The target for DOGE to cut $2 trillion from the US budget has been described as a "broken promise" or unrealized pledge.
 
BIDEN's Chip Act and Trump's implementation prevents INTEL from splitting off the Foundry unit in a legally independent entity. Foundry and INTEL are supposed to stay one according to the legal documents around the Chips Act subsidy INTEL got.
Correct me if I am wrong:

The Chips act grant to Intel is cancelled. replace with stock investment (best deal ever for both sides)
Intel can sell off IFS. In fact the USG gets rich if they do (they have warrants at 20/share if Intel loses controlling interest). USG makes 10s of billions if IFS is sold off.
 
Correct me if I am wrong:

The Chips act grant to Intel is cancelled. replace with stock investment (best deal ever for both sides)
Intel can sell off IFS. In fact the USG gets rich if they do (they have warrants at 20/share if Intel loses controlling interest). USG makes 10s of billions if IFS is sold off.
Gemini states:

Intel theoretically could sell or spin off its Foundry Services (IF), but recent legal and financial agreements with the U.S. government have made a full sale or majority divestment nearly impossible for the next several years.

Key Restrictions on a Sale
  • Majority Ownership Requirement: Under the terms of the CHIPS and Science Act funding and a subsequent $8.9 billion deal with the Trump administration in late 2025, Intel is required to maintain at least 51% ownership of its foundry business.
  • Five-Year "Brake": The government holds a five-year warrant that allows it to take an additional equity stake in Intel if the company reduces its foundry ownership below 51%. This effectively blocks a true spin-off or full sale until at least 2030.
  • National Security Alignment: Any significant change in ownership must be approved by the U.S. government to ensure domestic semiconductor capacity remains under American control, particularly given geopolitical tensions over Taiwan.

Strategic Moves Short of a Full Sale
While a complete exit is currently off the table, Intel has taken steps to separate the business and raise capital:
  • Independent Subsidiary: Intel has already transitioned Intel Foundry into a separate subsidiary with its own financial reporting, designed to provide transparency and attract external investment.
  • Partial Stake Sales: The company can sell up to a 49% stake in the foundry business without triggering government penalties. It has already used "asset-level co-investment" deals with partners like Brookfield Infrastructure and Apollo Global Management to fund specific factories.
  • Potential IPO: Intel's CFO has mentioned the possibility of a future Initial Public Offering (IPO) for a minority stake in the foundry, though challenges regarding how much of the assets Intel actually "owns" (vs. its partners) could lower the valuation.
 
Gemini states:

Intel theoretically could sell or spin off its Foundry Services (IF), but recent legal and financial agreements with the U.S. government have made a full sale or majority divestment nearly impossible for the next several years.

If Intel wanted to sell off IFS, The government would be able to buy some stock at 20/share. That would be great for USG and If Intel wanted to sell IFS .... that would not stop them.

I dont think an IPO is possible for a company with 10B in losses per year, Massive upcoming depreciation, Negative free cash flow, minimal external revenue. DZ has commented on this. If it was sold, it would be like IBM fabs sell off .... people are paid to take the assets and depreciation and Intel agrees to buy wafers.

Apollo is dead and brookfield is being discussed for the same reasons (see 10Q)

Best solution? Intel forms JV with Musk and JV owns all of IFS. eventually Musk buys all of IFS. Downside? Musk's corporate cultures is the opposite of Intel IFS. Moving to Naga and LBT was extremely difficult. Moving to Musk would cause chaos.

Just an Opinion
 
INTEL will not be allowed to sell FOUNDRY services is my opinion because of purely National Security Reasons. This is broadly supported by both GOP and Democrates. As long as the hybrid war with China is ongoing, no way USA will let IFS become detached from INTEL! Not even under the leadership of Musk.

USA congress will not let that pass, is what my crystal ball shows me since Trump's administration started, but DEMS support that strategy, see the Biden conditions for INTEL from the CHIPs ACT.

This is POLITICAL big power strategy with CHINA, has nothing to do with business model, or balance sheet or P&L.

Just my two cents.
 
INTEL will not be allowed to sell FOUNDRY services is my opinion because of purely National Security Reasons. This is broadly supported by both GOP and Democrates. As long as the hybrid war with China is ongoing, no way USA will let IFS become detached from INTEL! Not even under the leadership of Musk.

USA congress will not let that pass, is what my crystal ball shows me since Trump's administration started, but DEMS support that strategy, see the Biden conditions for INTEL from the CHIPs ACT.

This is POLITICAL big power strategy with CHINA, has nothing to do with business model, or balance sheet or P&L.

Just my two cents.
I like that, "Democrates". I think I'll use that in the future.

The US Congress has many responsibilities, but unless they pass a new law, Congress really doesn't have the power to impact an IFS sale or spin-out. The chance of Congress passing such a law, and it being signed by Trump, seems nil. The USG agency with the power to block a sale or acquisition is the Federal Trade Commission. Or the Department of Justice could initiate an action in the Federal courts.

Personally, I'm not impressed with Intel products, CPUs or otherwise. I think Intel needs to figure out how to be profitable in manufacturing. There's only one real competitor, the barrier to entry is incredibly high (I don't care what Elon thinks), and I think Intel just needs to figure out how to be a Foundry on par with TSMC. Whatever it takes. The rewards for success will be very rich. There are countless chip design companies, and Intel is not in a technical leadership position in any product line. Only Intel, TSMC, and Samsung have the required foundry capabilities, and I don't think Samsung's corporate structure is up to the task. Intel needs to get up to the task, now.

I think the future for Intel is obvious. I can't think of another company in any industry where the necessary future plan is so obvious.
 
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