Well Intel themselves said 18A will be internal only node
the revisionist history is quite stunning here.
2021: 18A was the external version of the Internal node. 50 products being testing. Everyone is looking at it. Whales and prepayments coming in. 5B in external foundry revenue in 2026. Fabs planned everywhere
2024: Internal version (20A) is cancelled and product moved to TSMC. This is because 18A was doing so well, there was no need for 20A.
1H2025: No one (except USG with 2030 volume) external has signed up. LBT says maybe the external foundry fanstasy needs to stop
2H2025: Apple, Google, Nvidia Looking at it. 18A will win.. ... Risk production started in April. Panther lake Launch in 2025 Yay!
18A is "internal only" because no one external wants to use it as of today. Its pretty simple.
Everyone looks at options, then they make decisions and have backup plans based on reality.
Perhaps we should track external tapeouts for products and external revenue instead of these "news articles"
We know there is no significant (defined as greater than half a fab) external foundry volume until at least 2028.