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"One major warning about doing so comes from China Beige Book and AEI analyst Derek Scissors. China is not "suddenly" doing poorly, he wrote last month; its economy "has been off course for at least 14 years and continues to slowly grind to a halt." In short, "Policy is stagnant, the debt burden is rising, and demographics are starting to bite," he wrote, adding that there is little hope that government stimulus can overcome that."