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Search results

  1. fansink

    U. S. Sanctions on Huawei to ease?

    What’s ridiculous is the premise of your argument, since every single one of those 1.4B Chinese has access to the same latest technology that everyone else on this planet has access to.
  2. fansink

    U. S. Sanctions on Huawei to ease?

    Are saying that China does not fabricate their own semiconductors?
  3. fansink

    U. S. Sanctions on Huawei to ease?

    One should not be ridiculed for not enriching their adversary.
  4. fansink

    China Has Painted Itself Into a Semiconductor Corner

    Bloomberg’s reference to “The World” may be at least the 63% that are ~democratic, but likely includes a fair number of authoritarian countries that worry about their sovereignty from China’s growing expansionism.
  5. fansink

    Intel will bring in other capital holders to help with fab expansion

    Like watching a time lapse carcass disappear?
  6. fansink

    TSMC’s Initial 3nm HVM Yield To Be Better Than Its 5nm

    TSMC's N3 process to enter mass production in September, and the initial yield performance will be better than the initial stage of the 5nm N5 process. Does anyone recall what the initial 5nm HVM yield was? https://ctee.com.tw/news/tech/699083.html
  7. fansink

    What Prevents China’s Military From Repurposing Samsung’s 3nm ASIC’s Sold To Chinese Crypto Miners?

    No takers? I’m surprised, given the recent news about U.S. further limiting China’s access to tools necessary for 14nm process nodes. In addition the U.S. CHIPS Act specifically bars companies that receive federal funding from “materially expanding” production of chips more advanced than 28...
  8. fansink

    What Prevents China’s Military From Repurposing Samsung’s 3nm ASIC’s Sold To Chinese Crypto Miners?

    Other than the fighter jet’s flight time being limited to the time it takes for attached blue-ice pack to melt. https://www.ft.com/content/bb13d912-773a-4c1a-bf33-358b3c40ca5a https://wccftech.com/samsung-3nm-gaa-chips-shipping-on-july-25/
  9. fansink

    TSMC Raises 2022 Outlook to 35% - Q2 2022 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

    Without a doubt, in fact, TSMC’s TTM revenue may surpass INTC’s by the end of 3Q22. By the end of 2Q22, INTC TTM revenue is $73.2B (19.2+20.3+18.4+15.3), while TSMC TTM revenue is $66.3B (14.9+15.7+17.5+18.1). By the end of 3Q22, I estimate, INTC TTM revenue is $69.5B (20.3+18.4+15.3+15.5)...
  10. fansink

    TSMC Raises 2022 Outlook to 35% - Q2 2022 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

    If rumors of Intel raising prices by 10-20% come true, TSMC will still surpass Intel revenue within a year.
  11. fansink

    TSMC Raises 2022 Outlook to 35% - Q2 2022 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

    After taking the average monthly exchange rate (from daily closing prices), and converting TSMC’s reported monthly revenue, using theses average daily exchange rates, FY21 revenue is TW$1.587T (US$56.829B). Using the same average daily exchange rates, TSMC’s 1H22 revenue is TW$1.025T...
  12. fansink

    TSMC Raises 2022 Outlook to 35% - Q2 2022 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

    Given the +10-year rarity of last year’s USD/TWD exchange rate your analysis requires, my analysis has a much greater probability.
  13. fansink

    TSMC Raises 2022 Outlook to 35% - Q2 2022 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

    TSMC’s FY21 revenue was TW$1.59T (US$53.04B). If TSMC’s FY22 revenue is 35% greater than FY21, their FY22 revenue will be TW$2.14T (US$71.60B). In order for TSMC to reach a TW$2.27T (US$76.0B), their FY22 revenue growth rate would need to be 43.3%. So, unless TSMC’s stated “mid-30’s percent”...
  14. fansink

    US pushes Netherlands to ban Dutch tech supplier ASML from selling older semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China

    TSMC is not a competitor to any US company, e.g. Intel, as there are no significant “pure play” foundries in the US.
  15. fansink

    What Are The Odds That Meteor Lake CPU Tile Will Be Fabricated By TSMC?

    Pat Gelsinger has financial fiduciary responsibilities, and if Intel’s fabrication problems will result in significant financial distress, and if Pat has a reasonable fabrication alternative, such as TSMC, Pat is dutybound to procure such alternatives.
  16. fansink

    Intel CEO visiting Taiwan in August to discuss 3nm orders with TSMC

    It seems like the best solution may be to have TSMC just make all the parts, since they are making everything else but the CPU tile, then Intel could release Meteor Lake closer to the original schedule, instead of a year later.
  17. fansink

    Intel CEO visiting Taiwan in August to discuss 3nm orders with TSMC

    Thank you for that clarification. I understood that Meteor Lake was supposed to be released by Intel around 1-2Q23, and that TSMC would be providing the 3nm GPU and 4nm SoC LP tiles, while Intel was to supply the 4nm CPU tile. If that were true, TSMC would need to start fabricating those tiles...
  18. fansink

    Intel CEO visiting Taiwan in August to discuss 3nm orders with TSMC

    Can you please clarify. Are you stating that if Intel causes a production gap at TSMC that Intel will not be financially responsible, or are you saying that such production gap will be filled by others, negating Intel’s financial responsibility, or something else? Ultimately, how do you think...
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