Arthur Hanson
Well-known member
Nothing good can come out of a China/Taiwan conflict for China or the world. For China, the risks are numerous and enormous. If they attempt to take over Taiwan, the conflict could extend from India, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, the US(which would probably involve Nato since they are allies by treaty) and their economies rely upon TSM chips like most of the world's economies. To think Putin and Russia would not also take advantage of this would be naive, he could easily take full advantage of this to China's detriment. This would also cast doubt on where covid actually came from and the lack of transparency in the initial investigations. Any real conflict and the Chinese would take over a near useless. TSM would be rendered almost useless by being cut off from much of the ecosystem that Morris Chang spent decades assembling from around the world that rely on trust that would no longer exist if China took over Taiwan by force. The damage to the world economy could also make many of the foreign bonds China holds worthless and uncollectable. The economic, political, and physical damage of starting a world war could easily blowback on China with unknown implications on its internal economy, social structure, and political structures. If China thinks violating the Hong Kong treaty caused problems and condemnation, this would be a very minor and negligible distraction compared to what a military assault on Taiwan would bring. Just the cost of invading Taiwan could be easily upwards of a trillion dollars in direct and indirect costs and damage to China alone. This money could be put to much better uses than throwing money down a rat hole of international conflict and condemnation. The damage to world trade would hurt all with no country being immune. I wish the leaders on all sides could learn the lessons of Morris Chang and building an ecosystem built on trust and mutual benefit, something our leaders on all sides should take to heart. You can't argue with the results that Morris Chang achieved not only for TSM and their partners, but the world in general.
Collaboration and cooperation could prove the opposite and yield tremendous dividends for China and the world through increasing the rate of progress for everyone. Truly integrating markets and mutual respect for IP could unleash a wave of advancement and productivity unmatched in human history with the onset of widespread advanced artificial intelligence, machine learning, and the automation of everything. China's accomplishments are great, such as moving more people out of poverty in the shortest time in human history and bringing a massive country into modern times in an equally short period of time. I hope China sees the upside which could be rapid and immediate by seeking profitable collaboration and cooperation over conflict that could damage the world and make them a pariah. Investing the trillion dollars that a widespread conflict could easily cost China and the trillions Taiwan and its allies would also lose, would be a much, much wiser investment with literally staggering returns if spent on advancing technologies in numerous areas, coupled with true collaboration and cooperation. I hope the world leaders choose prosperity over conflict. I wish our leaders would follow the example of Morris Chang and build ecosystems based on trust and collaboration in which all sides benefit and contribute to a better world. This system of building ecosystems would benefit everyone and hopefully could be extended to almost everything one step at a time.
Comments, thoughts, and additions solicited and welcomed
Collaboration and cooperation could prove the opposite and yield tremendous dividends for China and the world through increasing the rate of progress for everyone. Truly integrating markets and mutual respect for IP could unleash a wave of advancement and productivity unmatched in human history with the onset of widespread advanced artificial intelligence, machine learning, and the automation of everything. China's accomplishments are great, such as moving more people out of poverty in the shortest time in human history and bringing a massive country into modern times in an equally short period of time. I hope China sees the upside which could be rapid and immediate by seeking profitable collaboration and cooperation over conflict that could damage the world and make them a pariah. Investing the trillion dollars that a widespread conflict could easily cost China and the trillions Taiwan and its allies would also lose, would be a much, much wiser investment with literally staggering returns if spent on advancing technologies in numerous areas, coupled with true collaboration and cooperation. I hope the world leaders choose prosperity over conflict. I wish our leaders would follow the example of Morris Chang and build ecosystems based on trust and collaboration in which all sides benefit and contribute to a better world. This system of building ecosystems would benefit everyone and hopefully could be extended to almost everything one step at a time.
Comments, thoughts, and additions solicited and welcomed
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