Moore's Law isn't just dead; the industry has reversed course and is now focused on volume products in 28nm and above. Samsung continues to produce it's leading edge 3D NAND flash at 40nm. TSMC continues to innovate new 28nm processes, staying ahead of the price decline curve on that node, enticing many to stay put rather than move to the uncharted 20nm and below space. Manufacturing cost reduction is elusive in the 20nm and below space while 28nm and above offers considerable optimization potential that will be tapped.
With Samsung and Intel going slow (potentially VERY slow) on 10nm introduction, the signs of a problem in the < 28nm are already clear. And the end-result, however mind-boggling, is this--Scaling is no longer the preferred path forward, but rather, a grudging way to stay in the game. Advanced nodes are like the Concorde jet--something the few interested parties will have to pay very, very dearly for.
With Samsung and Intel going slow (potentially VERY slow) on 10nm introduction, the signs of a problem in the < 28nm are already clear. And the end-result, however mind-boggling, is this--Scaling is no longer the preferred path forward, but rather, a grudging way to stay in the game. Advanced nodes are like the Concorde jet--something the few interested parties will have to pay very, very dearly for.